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21

Jul 2026

随着印度央行加大干预、资金流入抵消油价冲击，印度卢比逼近历史新低

布油站上90美元，印度卢比再逼纪录低位96.9550！RBI加码干预并引流逾200亿美元，压低波动率；交易者宜卖波动率，慎追涨USD/INR。

21

Jul 2026

美元/加元自一周高位回落，油价支撑加元，且美联储与加拿大央行政策分歧持续

USD/CAD自一周高位回吐，美元转弱、油价坚挺撑加元但关税压制。1.4000买盘强，勿急做空；待破位再追。期权宜短PUT与铁秃鹰博震荡。

21

Jul 2026

霍尔木兹海峡受扰促使沙特原油改道经曼德海峡，红海航运风险升温

霍尔木兹受扰致油流转向红海/曼德海峡，沙特日运400万桶风险升温。封锁若扩大恐推高运费与油价短波动；宜短期做多波动，避长期追多。

21

Jul 2026

美元/日元逼近162.60，伊朗停火谈判缓解美元买盘，日本CPI数据即将出炉

美元/日元连涨至162.60，但伊朗停火讯号降温避险、美元转弱；日本6月核心CPI料升至1.6%与干预风险升温。策略：近月买入看跌或熊市价差，押回撤。

21

Jul 2026

瑞士法郎收窄跌幅，受伊朗停火谈判与油市风险影响，美元/瑞郎跌破0.8100

USD/CHF 跌势收窄：伊朗停火揣测令美元回吐，但冲突与油价高企支撑避险。策略：0.8100 附近买短期限看涨/做多跨式；原油牛市价差押注 85–95 美元。关注周五美国 PMI。

21

Jul 2026

美元企稳，中东紧张局势支撑油价；英镑、加元与纽元紧盯关键数据

中东冲突推升油价风险，汇市观望、美元偏强。英薪资降温、纽元受高通胀走高、加元承压关税。策略：买原油虚值看涨、做多美元、加元看跌价差。

21

Jul 2026

华侨银行警告：伯纳姆的财政灵活性或拖累英镑，欧元/英镑有望反弹至0.87

OCBC警告伯纳姆执政恐点燃英国财政忧虑，英镑承压。EUR/GBP回调或近尾声，料数月反弹至0.87；可布局看涨期权/价差，押注欧元与利差优势。

21

Jul 2026

欧元/美元守在1.1400附近，油价主导的地缘政治风险升温，市场静待欧洲央行决议

EUR/USD守1.1400上方横盘，美元回落支撑但中东风险与油价压顶。市场聚焦ZEW与周四ECB，9月加息预期升温；建议用期权跨式/对冲捕捉波动。

21

Jul 2026

美欧股市受地缘政治紧张情绪拖累走低，亚洲市场在近期抛售后反弹

地缘政治不确定+美国实质收益率走高拖累，美欧股续弱：标普三连跌、STOXX回落；亚洲却V形反弹，韩股暴涨、日股走高，A股走强，期货向好。

21

Jul 2026

英国失业率稳定在4.9%，就业人数增加；英镑小幅走高，薪资增长表现不一

英国就业与失业“双优”，ILO失业率4.9%低于预期，就业增14.7万支撑英镑。薪资温和助BoE偏鹰，GBP/USD升至1.3450，策略偏做多与卖短期看跌。

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