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Live Updates

21

Jul 2026

英国就业人数截至5月大增，提振英镑前景并抑制市场对英伦银行降息的押注

英国就业三个月增14.7万，比前值快4.7万且超预期，凸显劳动力市场韧性。BoE 8月降息机率降；SONIA期货偏空、英债收益率上行，英镑或走强。

21

Jul 2026

英国失业率降至4.9%，降温市场对英伦银行降息押注并支撑英镑

英国失业率意外回落至4.9%引爆市场：英银8月降息或延后，英镑料走强；策略偏鹰，建议做多GBP、做空英债期货，并以期权防范股市波动。

21

Jul 2026

英国薪资增长降温至4.3%，市场对英伦银行降息预期升温

英国薪资增速意外降温：含奖金同比仅4.3%低于预期。通胀黏性或缓解，英银降息压力升温；利率期货偏多、英镑承压，富时250与地产股或受惠。

21

Jul 2026

英国常规薪资增幅在截至5月的三个月维持在3.4%，符合预期

英国常规薪资年增3.4%至5月三个月持平预期，薪资压力未升温。剔除奖金更见真实趋势，市场可据此研判央行政策与利率走向。

21

Jul 2026

美元/加元反弹，加拿大通胀降温、美关税冲击显现，关键1.4100阻力位成焦点

USD/CAD 自1.4000反弹冲击1.4100未破：加国通胀偏软+美对加征50%关税利多美元，但油价高企托底加元。关键看能否收上1.4100，上看1.4126/1.4155。

21

Jul 2026

阿联酋金价走高，全球央行买盘支撑黄金需求

阿联酋金价周二上扬：金条每克477.72迪拉姆、托拉报5,572.05。央行持续大买支撑底部；利率前景与美元走弱或再成催化，衍生品偏多。

21

Jul 2026

避险需求增强，巴基斯坦金价攀升至每托拉422,233巴基斯坦卢比

巴基斯坦金价周二续扬：每克PKR36,200、每托拉PKR422,233。避险与央行买盘提振，美元转弱或推新高；交易者可用长期看涨期权与牛市价差控险。

21

Jul 2026

QQQ 回调目标指向 646-684 美元支撑位，艾略特波浪延伸，枢轴点守住 737.72 美元

QQQ自6月新高转入“双重三”修正，跌势未止。关注646–684美元斐波支撑密集区；跌破686.76确认延伸。策略：反弹买Put或卖虚值Call价差，737.72不破偏空占优。

21

Jul 2026

日元维持在162.50附近，市场权衡美伊停火前景与关键数据

日元逼近162.84高位、DXY横盘，市场屏息等美伊10天停火抉择与PMI/CPI催化。交易员可用短期期权跨式与OTM看跌、障碍期权布局极端波动。

21

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎走高，美伊冲突推升避险美元需求，并强化加息押注

美伊冲突推升避险与油价，USD/CHF 连涨至0.8110。FedWatch 9月加息押注升至64.2%挺美元；SNB 更谨慎并或干预压瑞郎，期权布局上行。

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