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Live Updates

22

Jul 2026

英国6月核心产出PPI升至2.6%，推升市场对英伦银行利率“更高更久”的预期

英国6月核心产出PPI跳升至2.6%，成本压力加剧。或迫使英央行延后降息：做空SONIA与Gilt期货；买GBP/USD短期看涨；配置富时100保护性看跌。

22

Jul 2026

在央行需求推动衍生品看涨前景下，阿联酋金价小幅走高

阿联酋金价周三跳涨至每克487.29迪拉姆、tola报5,683.66。央行买盘强劲叠加降息与美元走弱预期，黄金衍生品看涨：关注long call与牛市价差。

22

Jul 2026

英镑在1.3400下方企稳，美美元整固；英伦银行降息押注拖累英镑/美元

英镑四连跌后反弹仍困1.3400下，失守50/200日均线动能转弱。英国就业强但薪资降温增降息空间；美元受地缘与降息预期支撑。关注1.3350破位风险。

22

Jul 2026

中东袭击掐紧航运通道，WTI逼近85美元，市场聚焦EIA库存数据

中东冲突致霍尔木兹与曼德海峡航运受阻，WTI冲85美元；EIA库存成关键催化。策略：短期期权跨式捕波动，88美元上方卖价外call，回落看80/77.9。

22

Jul 2026

澳元/美元企稳于0.7010附近，澳洲就业数据公布前，市场对澳洲联储加息预期升温，紧张局势持续

澳元重返0.7010关口！RBA加息预期因地缘风险升温，8月概率约23%、12月超50%。周四澳洲就业数据成引爆点，期权策略宜做多波动。

22

Jul 2026

片山警告：在美伊紧张局势下，美元/日元逼近高位，日元或获支撑

日财长片山警告必要时随时干预汇市，拒谈目标汇率；美元兑日元163.15高位徘徊。地缘风险升温，扫盘护盘或再现，建议买入价外看跌与短期限波动策略防突跌。

22

Jul 2026

中国人民银行将人民币中间价设定得弱于路透预估，推高美元/人民币上行风险

人行把USD/CNY中间价定在6.7933，弱于前日且明显高于路透估值，释放容许人民币走软信号；经济复苏仍不稳，出口或受扶，期权交易可布局看涨但严控止损。

22

Jul 2026

美元/日元守稳163上方，利差支撑美元，日元干预风险仍存

美元/日元站稳163、逼近近40年高位！利差支撑套息仍强，但日本随时干预酿急跌；中东冲突与霍尔木兹风险推升油价，建议用期权控风险。

22

Jul 2026

日本6月出口增速超预期，助推日元走强押注及市场对日本央行收紧政策的猜测

日本6月出口暴增19.3%超预期，全球需求强劲或逼日央行转鹰：日圆看升可布局短天期USD/JPY看跌；日经留意汇率回调，宜用看跌日历价差对冲。

22

Jul 2026

伊朗警告或将扩大区域打击，美国再度空袭伊朗，提振WTI与油价波动前景

特朗普扬言打击伊朗核设施，德黑兰警告扩大报复、瞄准美盟友资产；美军续袭大不里士附近。WTI飙2.5%至84.35，美油波动或升级，宜用牛市价差、跨式对冲。

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· VTMarkets Ltd 注册于塞浦路斯共和国，注册号为 HE436466，注册地址为 Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus。

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