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Live Updates

22

Jul 2026

黄金升破4,080美元，美伊敌对行动推升避险需求与波动率策略

美伊冲突升温，金价自4,000反弹至4,080美元：趁波动买黄金长跨/宽跨；胡塞封锁推油价，布局布油看涨；警惕油涨逼联储转鹰，用利率期货或美债看跌对冲。

22

Jul 2026

英镑下挫：英国就业数据优于预期仍难抵工资走软与英国央行前景承压

英镑虽获强劲就业数据支撑仍走弱，GBP/USD跌破50与200日EMA至1.3380，连跌四日。关注CPI、零售与PMI；策略偏空：买短期认沽，目标1.3300/1.3150。

22

Jul 2026

英镑/日元守稳218.00上方，伯纳姆提振效应消退与干预疑虑限制涨幅

GBP/JPY守218.00上方整固，英镑动能转弱且干预风险压制。关注218.50/219.61阻力、217.53支撑；衍生品宜用期权限风险，防突发400-500点急跌。

22

Jul 2026

澳元/美元在0.7000附近的50日EMA处止步，就业数据与澳洲联储会议在即

AUD/USD 冲高 0.7050 未果回落 0.7000，50 日 EMA 压顶；地缘油价与利率信号混杂。就业、PMI、CPI 及美联储决议或引爆波动，偏空守 0.7050。

22

Jul 2026

韩国生产者物价指数（PPI）加速升至8.6%，市场权衡韩国央行“更高利率维持更久”立场

韩国6月PPI同比升至8.6%续处高位，BOK或更久维持紧缩。交易上做空KTB利率上行，买KOSPI200看跌护盘，并以USD/KRW看涨对冲韩元走弱。

22

Jul 2026

美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）走低，下行偏向维持，6.7600支撑仍完好

USD/CNH 突破区间转弱，跌至6.7662收6.7700。短线偏空，关注6.7600支撑、6.7820止损。宏观利空美元，考虑近月看跌期权。反转需破6.8430。

22

Jul 2026

美元走强，美伊紧张局势推升油价、重燃通胀忧虑并引发日元干预讨论

中东紧张助推美元连涨逼近101.20，油价飙破84.5、金价创新高；美就业转弱仍难压通胀忧虑。策略：做空美元兑日元期权、防范干预，原油牛市价差、黄金跨式。

22

Jul 2026

API称美国原油库存增加260.3万桶，逆转市场预期的150万桶下降

API爆冷：截至7月17日当周美国原油库存增260.3万桶，逆转预期减150万桶，差距410.3万桶。作为官方数据前哨，或扰动油价短期定价与仓位。

22

Jul 2026

路透调查显示，美联储料全年维持利率不变；市场计入2026年末加息风险

油价冲击下，美联储或全年按兵不动？路透调查：7月不加息概率77%，但12月加息定价81%、2027年前或再加两次；衍生品布局宜防鹰转。

22

Jul 2026

中国动员监管机构与国家资金稳住A股，衍生品交易员押注波动率回落

监管层联手“国家队”约600亿托底A股，压制下行与波动。资金回流、7月底政治局会议成催化。衍生品可卖ETF虚值看跌、做牛市价差及日历价差捕捉收益。

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