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Live Updates

22

Jul 2026

英国地方政府及社区部（DCLG）5月房价涨幅放缓至2.7%，加剧市场对宽松的押注并令英镑承压

英国DCLG房价指数5月同比涨幅骤降至2.7%（前值3.8%），楼市显著降温。关注英央行政策转向：做多SONIA期货、布局英镑看跌，并用期权对冲房企股波动。

22

Jul 2026

风险偏好回升推高美元，日元与瑞郎走软；美元/日元料逼近165

能源高位、股市偏强拖累日圆瑞郎；美元与挪威克朗获追捧。USD/JPY料逼164/165，USD/CHF看破0.8150。期权策略：日元瑞郎买call；欧元防回落。

22

Jul 2026

日元反弹，报道称在CPI与会议前日本央行或加快收紧政策，干预风险升温

彭博爆料日银或加快加息，日元自163.23低位急弹，美元/日元回162.90。下周决议、周五CPI与潜在干预成三大催化剂，期权波动或飙升。

22

Jul 2026

英镑下挫，伯纳姆生活成本承诺重燃债务忧虑并推高波动性

伯纳姆上任英镑提振迅速消退，市场转盯减税与社屋资金来源；债务近GDP 98%令财政可持续性受压。英镑波动升温，期权跨式与英债看跌成对冲焦点。

22

Jul 2026

美国股市上涨，国债实际收益率升至多年高位，芯片股走强带动大盘指数走升

美债收益率攀升、Fed预期转鹰，美股却逆势走高！芯片股强势反弹带飞大盘，标普靠少数股撑场；欧洲同步risk-on。焦点转向Alphabet、特斯拉财报与CapEx。

22

Jul 2026

英镑受疲弱英国通胀拖累，欧元兑英镑走高；市场焦点转向欧洲央行利率决议

英国6月通胀降温拖累英镑，EUR/GBP 升至0.8525；但核心CPI仍黏。焦点转向周四ECB议息，市场押注至2027年前或再加息两次。

22

Jul 2026

英国CPI降至2.6%，但核心通胀仍具黏性，促使英伦银行维持鹰派按兵不动

英国6月CPI降至2.6%低预期，但核心仍黏着2.6%，降息希望降温。英镑小回，BoE偏鹰按兵不动在即；期权波动或累积，留意1.3380枢轴。

22

Jul 2026

英国6月CPI小幅回升0.1%，降压英伦银行，市场押注降息升温

英国6月CPI环比增0.1%符预期，通胀温和靠近2%目标，BoE鹰压减。市场押注Q3降息概率升至68%；英镑偏弱可买GBP/USD短期看跌，FTSE100受益降息可布局看涨期权。

22

Jul 2026

英国6月CPI通胀放缓至2.6%，提振降息预期并拖累英镑

英国6月CPI降至2.6%低于预期，通胀压力更快缓解。英伦银行降息空间扩大：做多SONIA期货、买入英债期货，谨慎看空英镑兑美元欧元。

22

Jul 2026

英国核心产出生产者物价指数（PPI）6月降温至0.5%，缓解英伦银行利率压力

英国6月核心产出PPI月增降至0.5%（前0.8%），制造端通胀降温。看点：英伦银行维持高息压力减、SONIA期货可偏多；英镑或转弱；富时100偏多。

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