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22

Jul 2026

美股在科技股带动下走高，同时美债收益率上升，市场严阵以待SPCX催化因素

美股靠科技股反弹，但债息上升、加息押注走高。半导体仅像卖盘枯竭。策略：短期限跨式抓波动；SPCX财报+巨量解禁前买看跌；油金期权对冲通胀地缘。

22

Jul 2026

受半导体交易平仓与央行需求提振，金价反弹并上探200日移动平均线阻力位

半导体降温掀起资金回流，黄金止跌反弹但仍属技术修复。央行强力买盘托底，高盛看好至2026年4,900美元；短线关键天花板4,505–4,510，突破才算确认。

22

Jul 2026

在市场对AI资本开支的审视升温之际，半导体股在Alphabet、英特尔与德州仪器业绩公布前反弹

半导体股从AI落后者变领涨，费半+5.2%、美光+12.2%！关键财报将定云端capex与景气循环；期权IV偏高，宜铁秃鹰/价差控风险，警惕AI变现不足与高油价压力。

22

Jul 2026

三菱日联警告：关税政策转向或推高汇率波动，美元/亚洲货币料最脆弱

MUFG警告：第122条到期、301条接棒，关税不确定性再起或推升汇市波动。美元短期偏强，USD/Asia最易上行；策略：短天期买USD call对冲亚币，另以长天期USD put防美元反转。

22

Jul 2026

布伦特油价升至94美元，伊朗紧张局势与红海航运风险推升油价，考验股市

油价冲破：布伦特飙4%站上94美元、周涨逾10%。美伊紧张与红海航运避险推升风险溢价，通胀或回潮，英债高企；科技财报前波动加剧。

22

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎下滑，美国—伊朗紧张局势推升美元，并加剧红海能源供应担忧

中东冲突与红海航运受阻推升避险美元，USD/CHF回落至0.8120但仍获支撑。美瑞利差逾500bp、SNB偏鸽，关注0.8170突破，期权偏多。

22

Jul 2026

英国通胀降温提振市场情绪，欧洲股市持稳；伊朗遇袭推高油价，科技资本开支成焦点

欧股转强、美股期货回落；英国CPI降但服务通胀黏着，利率或更久偏高。油价因空袭飙升宜买看涨期权；日元逼近低位需防干预；AI高开支与“逃逸”事件或推升科技波动。

22

Jul 2026

英镑因财政空间讨论跌破1.34美元，CPI数据喜忧参半令英伦银行前景蒙阴

英镑跌破1.34成警讯：财政“灵活性”引借贷忧，CPI分化压制降息，油价再推通胀风险。交易员宜用短期期权、偏鹰STIR与做多收益率对冲。

22

Jul 2026

布伦特原油被视为估值偏低，中东与黑海地区供应干扰恐加剧8月供应紧张

油市警报拉响：红海/波斯湾风险升温、CPC黑海停摆威胁170万桶/日；布伦特91美元或低估。旺季挤压恐破95，关注虚值看涨与柴油裂解价差。

22

Jul 2026

亚洲科技股涨势消退，Alphabet 业绩公布前纳斯达克期货走低，油价推动收益率上扬

科技反弹熄火，市场押注Alphabet财报与1900亿美元AI资本开支成胜负手；油价冲90美元推高通胀与美债收益率。策略：科技护盘认沽/日历价差，布油虚值看涨，做多美元兑日元与挪威克朗。

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