Live Updates

30

Jul 2026

美元兑日元在美联储维持利率不变后走软，异议票推升9月加息机率，日本政策差距仍在

美联储按兵不动但投票偏鹰，美元/日元回调后守163看涨；美日利差仍大、日元空头拥挤且干预风险升。关注PCE与日银，突破164上看165。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，收益率攀升且期货基差转负，比特币回吐涨幅

利率不降、长债收益率冲破5.2%压制币市：BTC短冲6.4万后回落。Glassnode警示负基差削弱套利、流动性转薄，关键区间6.2万-6.8万，突破6.9万成看点。

30

Jul 2026

微软因云业务带动业绩超预期而大涨，Meta 因业绩不及预期及支出指引上调而下挫

财报一出，微软凭EPS与营收双超预期、云收入飙27%续涨；Meta因盈利失利与支出上调承压。FOMC后波动放大，布局牛市价差、熊市价差及铁秃鹰。

30

Jul 2026

美元走软，美联储按兵不动但投票分歧；欧元与英镑走强，油价与金价齐涨

美联储9-3分歧按兵不动，美元指数跌0.5%至100.90；欧元英镑走强、日元偏弱。油价飙7%、金价创新高。重磅GDP与核心PCE将引爆下一波波动。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率在3.50%至3.75%不变，三名官员主张立即加息

按兵不动却更鹰：美联储利率维持3.50%–3.75%，9比3显分歧，三官员主张立刻加25bp。通胀仍高、供应冲击未解；沃什称不走预设路径，聚焦数据、市场信号与后续声浪。

30

Jul 2026

美联储按兵不动但三名官员投反对票；美元与美债收益率回落，纳指在AI投资焦点带动下反弹

美联储按兵不动却现9比3分裂，美元与美债收益率齐回落、股市企稳反弹；AI资本开支年增约20%成亮点，市场紧盯杰克逊霍尔及科技巨头财报。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，WTI油价企稳于83美元附近；中东局势紧张令供应风险持续受关注

WTI 反弹至 83 美元附近却交投清淡；中东报复升级成最大变数。技术守 82.32/80.15 支撑、阻力 84.24。策略：近月看涨、牛市价差；80 下方卖虚值看跌增收。

30

Jul 2026

在美联储维持利率不变但出现鹰派分歧后，美元/日元稳守在163.60附近，鹰派异议支撑美元

美元/日元回到163.60附近，受美联储按兵不动但9–3偏鹰投票提振！技术支撑162.75，阻力163.73；策略可用牛市价差与敲出期权控风险。

30

Jul 2026

澳元跌幅收窄，因美联储意见分歧推动美元走势偏强；澳元/美元关注0.6900支撑位

美联储9–3按兵不动却现三鹰派想加息，澳元收复跌幅仍偏弱。机构警告AUD/USD或跌破0.6900；建议买短期看跌或跨式，紧盯Warsh发布会。

30

Jul 2026

欧元稳守1.1400上方，尽管美联储维持利率不变且有三名鹰派官员投下反对票

美联储9比3按兵不动却现鹰派分裂，EUR/USD站稳1.14上方。市场重估加息路径，短线波动或加剧；衍生品可用跨式捕波动、熊市价差押美元反攻。

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