Live Updates

4

Aug 2026

瑞郎/日元“三重顶”形态加剧，日银干预引发跌势，跌破200日移动平均线

CHF/JPY罕见三重顶兑现，BOJ干预加速暴跌并击穿200日均线。195.40成短线门槛：周五前收复或缓压；失守则偏空延续，慎追空抄底。

4

Aug 2026

道明证券认为，日本出手干预后，美元/日元仍将守在153上方，年底看向159

870亿美元干预+疑似美日联手，美元/日元急挫但结构未变。TD Securities料动能降温回调至153附近守稳，视跌势为反弹布局点；建议买159看涨或卖153外价看跌，年底目标159。

4

Aug 2026

布伦特原油与柴油油价在供应吃紧下仍走低，交易员转向看涨期权押注反弹

油价暴跌却非供给转松：布伦特跌7%、柴油更惨，实货偏紧与红海、俄禁令等风险仍在。别被“过剩”假象骗了，期权布局反弹。

4

Aug 2026

全球股市再创新高，周期轮动与软件股反弹抵消对亚洲科技股的疑虑

全球股市8月创新高却非齐涨：软件一周飙16%、资金轮动周期股；油价因霍尔木兹降温回落助攻。低VIX下可用期权多空与领口策略攻守兼备。

4

Aug 2026

英镑随美元反弹走软；美国就业数据公布前，英镑/美元关注1.3470阻力位

英镑/美元回落至1.3420，美元反弹、美国JOLTS与非农将定方向。关键阻力1.3473/1.3500，失守1.3389或下探1.3274；可布局Put或熊市价差。

4

Aug 2026

卢比在印度央行利率决议前持稳，油企与美元维持涨势

卢比开盘横盘守95.33，静候RBI利率决议；通胀仍在目标区间。油价走强与美元数据成变数。策略：区间卖跨式/铁鹰，偏空则盯94.80。

4

Aug 2026

巴基斯坦金价小幅走高，卢比疲软与避险需求支撑涨势

巴基斯坦金价周二续涨并刷新高：每克36,330卢比、每托拉423,748卢比。避险资金与央行买盘支撑，多头可关注期货/看涨期权，并紧盯USD/PKR与利率决策。

4

Aug 2026

中东紧张局势推升美元与美联储加息预期，金价上行乏力

金价亚洲盘小涨却难续：中东战事推升避险美元、油价回暖抬高通胀与加息预期，黄金受压。技术仍在200日线下，周五非农或成引爆点。

4

Aug 2026

美元/日元小幅走高，日元回落；市场聚焦JOLTS与非农就业数据，偏空格局仍未破坏

日元干预后急升，美元/日元回吐至157.6；美元指数守100，市场盯JOLTS与非农。技术面疑头肩顶，RSI超卖；160阻力、155颈线，破162或看164。

4

Aug 2026

在美国数据强劲与避险需求升温推动美元走强之际，纽元/美元下滑逼近0.5870

纽元/美元回落至0.5870；美国制造业PMI跳升与美伊紧张推高美元避险。聚焦新西兰就业与RBNZ潜在加息，建议用美元看涨或纽美保护性看跌对冲。

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