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Live Updates

14

Aug 2026

日元波动加剧引发谨慎情绪，外资转为净卖出日本股票

外资日本股市资金惊天逆转：截至8月7日由净买入3925亿日元转净卖出3685亿。日元波动与日央行变调令谨慎升温，日股反弹或降温，可用日经225看跌与期货对冲。

14

Aug 2026

日本海外债券购买激增至1.63万亿日元，加剧日元外流压力

日本单周净买入海外债券飙至1,629亿日元、翻逾三倍，资金外流或压制日元反弹；交易员可偏弱日元，关注USD/JPY期权与美债期货机会。

14

Aug 2026

美元在美国数据疲软后跌破100，投资者等待欧元区GDP与零售销售数据

美元因PPI疲弱与初请升温跌破DXY100，市场降温加息预期。建议：买DXY看跌对冲；金回撤至4350可布牛市价差；欧元1.1500买看涨；WTI靠81布局看跌。

14

Aug 2026

WTI 跌破 50 日均线，墨西哥湾沿岸库存增加掩盖成品油市场紧俏状况

WTI 跌破 50 日线回落至 80 美元，实为买点？美库存暴增多因海湾物流堵塞，成品油仍紧；IEA 供缺支撑回升，关注 8/17 中东风险引爆波动反弹。

14

Aug 2026

阿根廷7月CPI回升考验“爬行盯住”汇率机制，推升比索NDF需求与对冲活动

阿根廷7月CPI回升至2.1%，通胀黏性再现，已跑赢2%爬行盯住。NDF与比索期权波动或升温；布局短期限通胀挂钩、美元对冲，并盯紧CDS利差风险。

14

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎测试0.8145附近熊旗形态上限，RSI趋平且回调风险攀升

USD/CHF贴近看跌旗形上沿0.8134：突破0.8145或冲0.8200/0.8215；RSI走平警惕回调，失守0.8094或探0.8076，破0.8000风险骤增。

14

Aug 2026

澳元/美元守住200日均线，交易员关注0.7100突破，澳洲联储释放政策信号

澳元兑美元卡在0.6934支撑与0.7100阻力间：上破或触发空头回补冲0.7200；若跌破200日线恐转弱。澳洲数据韧性、RBA偏鹰，谨慎区间操作。

14

Aug 2026

美国30年期国债拍卖收益率升至5.216%，推高长端融资成本

30年期美债拍卖最高收益率飙至5.216%，创2007年来新高，长端融资成本走升。通胀与发债忧虑加剧，建议借期权、曲线陡峭化对冲科技股与久期风险。

13

Aug 2026

道琼斯指数下挫，思科暴跌拉低价格加权指数，标普500再创新高

道指围绕53,700点微跌，主因思科财报暴挫扭曲价格加权；标普创新高、纳指近涨1%。利率押注12月加息概率仍高，交易员关注零售销售与信心数据觅波动机会。

13

Aug 2026

纽元/美元小幅走低，新西兰通胀预期降温、美国PPI走软，市场焦点仍在波动性

纽纽汇 0.5850 附近走弱：新西兰通胀预期降温削弱 RBNZ 加息押注；美国 PPI 放缓压美元限跌。焦点看 0.5832/0.5821 支撑破位，期权与区间策略应对波动。

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