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Live Updates

14

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎触及100%阻力弧线，涨势动能减弱，关注汇价下探至0.8040

USD/CHF 4小时受阻于弧线周期100%阻力，多头动能退潮，周期“天花板”未破；若守住，或回落0.8040。收益率利差收窄支撑瑞郎，看跌期权/空单可布局。

14

Aug 2026

加拿大制造业销售超预期，降温市场对加拿大央行降息押注，支撑加元

加拿大6月制造业销售意外升0.1%，逆转原预估下滑，工厂韧性浮现。降息逼切感降温，短线利好加元与短端利率回吐，策略可布局CAD多头。

14

Aug 2026

英镑走强，市场重新定价美联储9月前景，美元走软

英镑/美元升至1.3533、DXY跌至99.70，因市场大幅下调美联储9月加息预期（暂停概率65%）。机会来了：短期买英镑看涨、做牛市价差，并以DXY跨式对冲波动。

14

Aug 2026

南非兰特领涨中东欧、中东及非洲新兴市场货币，金价走高与债券资金流入推动美元/兰特逼近16.00

兰特本月领跑CEEMEA，兑美元升2.4%总回报2.7%，USD/ZAR逼近16关口！金价上涨与美联储转鸽提振，外资单周净买入南非国债231亿兰特助推套息交易。

14

Aug 2026

金价自周内低点回升，美元走软与疲弱美国数据抑制美联储加息押注

金价本周探底4,311美元后反弹至4,372美元，受美元走软与9月按兵不动概率升至70%提振；但4,386美元均线压制。油价通胀风险仍存，期权布局机会浮现。

14

Aug 2026

欧洲股市收盘持平，霍尔木兹袭击事件与美国无人机关税抵消美国通胀降温影响

欧洲股市震荡收平：霍尔木兹遇袭与美对伊朗、无人机新关税压过通胀降温利好。油价走高、美元回落；建议用原油long call、日元/瑞郎期权及科技保护性put对冲。

14

Aug 2026

中国7月人民币贷款转为净偿还，助长市场押注人民币走弱及更广泛的避险交易

中国7月新增贷款惊转净偿还至-3400亿，信贷急冻重挫风险偏好。人民币、澳元与工业品承压；可押USD/CNH看涨、空铜铁矿、买恒指看跌与做多波动率。

14

Aug 2026

香港第二季GDP萎缩0.6%，市场关注下半年增长动能及股市波动加剧

香港次季GDP环比跌0.6%符预期，消费与旅游拖累增忧。下半年动能成焦点；建议用HSI认沽、熊市价差与科指跨式控险，并关注HIBOR期货机会。

14

Aug 2026

欧元/美元维持窄幅区间波动，疲弱的美国通胀数据缓和美联储加息预期

欧元兑美元卡在1.1511–1.1545，突破决定本月方向。上破或冲1.1570再成做空区；下破看1.1492，延伸1.1400。PPI降温压低9月加息概率，严设止损控风险。

14

Aug 2026

欧元/美元走高，市场加大押注欧洲央行加息，美联储9月加息概率回落，挑战100日均线

欧元/美元升至1.1550，押注欧央行9月加息25bp、美国通胀转软压低美联储加息概率至35%。关键看1.1567突破，站稳或上测1.1600，支撑1.1510。

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