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Live Updates

27

Aug 2026

Hougan称，Bessent谈论财政部回购与美元杠杆操作，强化比特币作为硬资产的投资逻辑

美债回购从40亿喊到或有1万亿后盾，Hougan称Bessent美元杠杆升级，强化比特币“硬资产”叙事。债市震荡+美元武器化下，期权做多波动成新机会。

27

Aug 2026

美元/韩元企稳，出口商抛汇对冲股市资金外流，韩国央行与美国数据公布前市场观望

USD/KRW 连跌后暂稳：出口商卖汇对冲美元偏强与外资流出（周净 -51 亿）。焦点转向 BoK、美国数据与月底调仓，料区间震荡；关注 1375/1365 支撑、1390/1397 阻力，铁鹰/宽跨及期权对冲。

27

Aug 2026

纽约梅隆银行：EMEA新兴市场股票资金流入由波兰、南非和土耳其领跑，整体新兴市场信号出现分化

资金狂扫EM EMEA股市：波兰、南非、土耳其成净买入黑马，但汇债仍弱。BNY指交易转向国家/板块驱动，避开EM指数期权，改用精选期权与高carry固收对冲。

27

Aug 2026

PCE数据强于预期推动美元指数反弹重返99上方，但仍受关键阻力位压制

DXY回升至99上方但受99.75均线压制；PCE略超预期却未强化加息叙事。财政回购致前低98.50。杰克逊霍尔与非农修正在即，警惕再探98.50。

27

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币走低，跌势动能增强，6.7200跌破将成下探6.7000关键

美元兑离岸人民币跌势未止：曾探6.7166、收6.7169。24小时守6.7150但或短破，难延伸至6.7100；阻力6.7210/6.7250。未来1-3周跌破并守6.7200，目标6.7000，6.7300下偏空。

27

Aug 2026

加元随美元走强而走低；关税前夕美元兑加元稳守公允价值附近

美元走强、油价回落压低加元；加拿大9月8日关税冲击或有限。美元/加元守1.3842上方，公允值1.3862。期权波动未定价，交易员可布局短跨式捕捉突破。

27

Aug 2026

瑞郎走软，美国PCE通胀更坚挺提振美元，美元/瑞郎攀向0.8052

美PCE通胀高于预期推升美元，USD/CHF升至0.8052。利差扩大利多美元、瑞郎偏弱，投行建议布局价外看涨，并用布油期权对冲霍尔木兹风险。

27

Aug 2026

比特币跌破8万美元，因美国PCE顽固推升谨慎；金价在杰克逊霍尔前测试4,600美元

BTC冲高81,000受阻回落守78,000，PCE偏黏提振有限、9月加息概率降至38%，零售需求走弱；黄金回测4,600。事件在杰克逊霍尔：慎用保护性认沽、备兑开仓与铁鹰策略。

27

Aug 2026

英镑走软，美国PCE通胀黏性推升美元，美联储加息概率仍受关注

美国通胀与GDP偏强推升加息预期，美元反弹压英镑跌破1.3600。目光转向杰克逊霍尔：建议GBP/USD期权跨式捕捉波动，债市可做空12月美债。

26

Aug 2026

道琼斯指数跌破53,500点，核心PCE数据修订加剧通胀担忧，英伟达财报公布前市场承压

道指徘徊53,500点下，核心PCE上修至3.7%敲响滞胀警报；30年期美债利率5.23%压阵。Nvidia财报与杰克逊霍尔或引爆回撤，留意53,800阻力与53,200支撑。

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