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26

Aug 2026

停火希望升温缓解欧元区能源成本，市场焦点转向德国就业数据，欧元兑英镑走强

美伊停火传闻点燃霍尔木兹或重开憧憬，EUR/GBP 升破关键均线至0.8570上方；惟伊朗转强硬限制涨幅。关注德国失业数据，期权多头瞄准0.8600。

26

Aug 2026

Meta 同意与美国各州达成 167 亿美元和解，推进儿童安全改革，同时欧盟《数字服务法》(DSA) 风险加剧

Meta拟以167亿美元和解29州儿童保护诉讼，需限时长、夜间封锁、严龄验与家长监护；Q2营收608亿仍强。股价反弹逼近50日SMA，欧盟DSA罚款风险升温。

26

Aug 2026

富时100指数逼近11,000点，受油企带动；沃什讲话及美联储信号前金价回落

富时100回吐后再获买盘，剑指11,000点；英伟达财报前“低科技敞口”成护城河。黄金反弹乏力现做空窗口，油价回升带动欧股，衍生品布局正当时。

26

Aug 2026

随着出口走强，台湾AI驱动的工厂产出飙升，支撑第三季强劲增长

AI与HPC引爆台湾工业：7月工业产值+25.6%、电脑光学狂飙95.6%，出口与订单强劲延伸至Q3。衍生品看TAIEX/半导体多头期权，汇市押TWD低波动收权利金。

26

Aug 2026

EIA数据显示美国馏分油库存降幅更大，提振柴油与取暖油价格前景

EIA：截至8月21日当周馏分油库存骤降222.8万桶，高于前周153万桶；需求超预期、库存低于五年均值近10%，柴油取暖油或迎季节性上涨，裂解价差看多。

26

Aug 2026

EIA数据显示美国汽油库存转为下降，燃油价格料将上涨

EIA数据显示汽油库存意外转降，单周去库253.6万桶，扭转前周累库。夏末需求韧性支撑燃油近月反弹；交易者可多RBOB或买短期看涨期权。

26

Aug 2026

财政忧虑与风险溢价上升拖累美元走低，欧元走强——荷兰银行（ABN AMRO）称

美元风向变了：风险溢价压倒美债收益率！ABN AMRO警告“双赤字”推高财政忧虑，美元或续跌；关注欧元受惠，买1-3个月EUR/USD近平值看涨期权布局。

26

Aug 2026

美国非国防耐用品订单跃升，挑战美联储降息预期并提振美元前景

美国7月非国防耐用品订单飙升1.3%，企业资本开支超预期。降息50基点机率降温，利率或更久维持高位：做空SOFR、买美债看跌；押注美元走强与工业股期权。

26

Aug 2026

美国第二季度PCE通胀意外上行，强化美联储鹰派前景，施压美债与成长股

美国Q2 PCE按季升5.3%超预期，通胀黏性再敲警钟！市场料降息押注降温，2年债收益率或冲5%，科技股承压，美元看强。

26

Aug 2026

美国耐用品订单好于预期，降息押注降温推高美债收益率和美元

美国7月耐用品订单月增1.1%超预期，制造与投资韧性再证。降息预期或回撤，短端美债收益率与美元看涨；标普期权对冲、黄金偏空机会浮现。

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