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7

Jul 2026

瑞士央行6月外汇储备跃升至7590亿瑞郎，暗示再度出手抛售瑞郎干预

瑞士6月外汇储备飙至7,590亿，单月增480亿，疑SNB卖瑞郎压升值、护通胀。波动或受抑，卖虚值看涨、铁鹰与信用价差成焦点，但需防政策突变。

7

Jul 2026

欧元兑英镑跌至一年低位，市场押注欧洲央行暂停加息，盖过德国产出回升影响

欧元兑英镑逼近一年低位0.8540：德国工业回暖难救欧元，英楼市与薪资撑英镑。ECB或暂停、BoE更偏稳，政策分歧料推EUR/GBP下探0.8500。

7

Jul 2026

美元/日元从162.42高位回落，UOB预计汇价将在160.60–163.00区间内盘整

美元/日元冲高162.42后动能转弱，UOB指仍超买，短线料守161.50–162.45，未来数周受限160.60–163.00；强美元遇干预风险，区间市可考虑卖铁鹰收权利金。

7

Jul 2026

德国5月工业产出转正，提振DAX与欧元多头押注

德国5月工业生产同比转正至0.1%，释放欧元区触底信号！布局DAX偏多、欧元看涨；警惕德债收益率上行，考虑做空Bund并卖出价外看跌期权。

7

Jul 2026

欧元/美元料今夏区间波动，欧洲央行与美联储按兵不动，秋季上行风险逐步累积

欧元/美元夏季料困1.1350–1.1450低波动区间，ECB与Fed偏观望。1个月隐波降至5.4%利好卖权收租；德国复苏与财政改革或推秋季上破，宜布局Q4欧元看涨。

7

Jul 2026

英镑连涨九个交易日，疲弱美国数据抑制市场对美联储加息押注

英镑兑美元连涨九日逼近1.3400！美国就业转弱、油价下行降通胀，市场下调美联储加息预期；英央行通胀更黏，政策分化撑英镑续强。

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