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7

Jul 2026

帕内塔警告：霍尔木兹供应风险或令欧元区通胀维持高企，限制欧洲央行放宽政策空间

霍尔木兹海峡不确定性令欧元区通胀上行风险升温，ECB宽松受限。市场反应淡；欧元走稳。建议布局油价看涨、短端利率higher-for-longer、买波动与欧元跨式。

7

Jul 2026

英镑走强，英国通胀企稳；英镑兑美元瞄准1.3410，1.3445在望

英镑/美元强势反弹收涨0.29%，瞄准1.3410，突破或直指1.3445！通胀稳、降息预期延后支撑英镑；策略倾向回调做多/买近月call，失守1.3300转弱。

7

Jul 2026

德国商业银行预计新西兰央行7月将加息，纽元走势有赖前瞻指引

德商银行押注RBNZ 7月或加息：市场已定价约70%概率，短线撑纽元。惟未来12个月3.5次加息预期偏高，经济转弱或引发重新定价，中期压制纽元。

7

Jul 2026

日元小幅走高，美元走软拖累美元/日元跌破162，干预担忧缓和

美元走软推日元小升，美元/日元跌破162，短暂降温干预忧虑。但日美利差与日本数据疲弱仍压制日元，焦点转向FOMC纪要与165防线期权机会。

7

Jul 2026

沃什首份FOMC会议纪要或扰动鹰派市场，因美联储转趋低调沟通立场

重磅纪要或更“静”更有杀伤力：美联储新主席首秀转向克制沟通，若纪要不够鹰派，已偏鹰仓位恐遭反向冲击；策略偏向买短波动、盯两年期美债反应。

7

Jul 2026

英镑回落因美元走强；美联储会议纪要公布前，英镑/美元守在20日EMA上方

英镑/美元回落至1.3380，美元走强且市场静待FOMC纪要。英国政局过渡与CPI回升支撑英镑。技术守20日均线，策略逢低布局，目标1.3526。

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