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23

Jul 2026

墨西哥核心通胀符合预期，强化央行降息路径，并影响利率互换、债券与比索期权市场

墨西哥7月上半月核心通胀0.16%符合预期，通胀降温路径清晰，Banxico或8月续降息。关注TIIE收固定、做多5-10年Mbonos，并用USD/MXN看涨期权防比索走弱。

23

Jul 2026

美元走强抵消地缘政治避险买盘，金价下滑；海峡中断忧虑推动油价走高

美元反弹压制金价，黄金回落至4,050美元；中东局势升温推油价至90美元，本月飙近29%。通胀与加息预期升温，警惕金破4,000下探3,900。

23

Jul 2026

印度M3增速放缓至12.5%，显示流动性趋紧，银行与衍生品或面临波动加剧

印度M3增速两周降至12.5%（前值13%），流动性趋紧或压银行股与推高VIX。衍生品宜偏空价差、控仓避裸卖，聚焦RBI与后续数据。

23

Jul 2026

欧元区收益率升至今年迄今高点，市场计入欧洲央行进一步加息预期

欧央行会议前欧债收益率飙至年内高位，能源涨价强化鹰派加息预期；利差有利欧元。策略：EUR/USD买call或牛市价差，配保护性put对冲波动风险。

23

Jul 2026

美元与油价齐升，股市回落，交易员关注失业金申领与天然气数据

中东紧张推升油价至90.46、美元同步走强，30年美债回落，相关性失灵！标普期货跌至7520。盯紧失业金与天然气库存，捕捉2年债与股指日内20tick机会。

23

Jul 2026

美元走软，红海局势动荡推升布伦特油价；市场计入欧洲央行与日本央行收紧政策

红海袭击推升油价与通胀预期，全球收益率上扬；航运量骤降加剧供应忧虑。市场押注ECB更鹰派、日银或提前加息，建议布局原油看涨价差、欧元长跨式与USDJPY看跌。

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