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23

Jul 2026

科技股财报释放谨慎信号，中东冲突推升油价与债券收益率，欧洲股市走低

油价逼近100美元+全球收益率冲高，市场进入“地缘+资本开支”双震荡。Alphabet、特斯拉财报不差却下跌，科技波动升温；建议用期权对冲原油、利率与欧元下行。

23

Jul 2026

黄金看跌布局渐成气候：技术面转弱叠加央行需求降温，或预示跌势加深

黄金或现更大跌幅：技术转弱、央行购金放缓12%，叠加高利率与美元走强压制。策略主打逢反弹做空，期权熊市价差锁风险，关注2350支撑破位。

23

Jul 2026

ING：预计欧洲央行将维持利率在2.25%，受油价推升通胀预期影响，市场已计入9月加息预期

油价升温推高通胀，ING 料欧央行本次按兵不动，存款利率守在 2.25%。市场却已计入约 23bp 加息，9 月加息大概率；意外加息属尾部风险。

23

Jul 2026

布伦特油价升破97美元，霍尔木兹海峡忧虑与红海袭击推升原油风险溢价

布伦特油价冲破97美元创多周新高，美伊紧张与霍尔木兹航运受阻推升风险溢价。极端波动来袭：建议用看涨价差、保护性看跌与周度期权控成本、抓上行。

23

Jul 2026

油价与收益率压力拖累日元走低，美元/日元升破163创年内新高

油气飙升压日元，USD/JPY破163创新高；低息货币同步走弱。日银或9月加息仍难扭转。策略：做多上行期权设敲出/跨式，备深虚值Put防回撤。

23

Jul 2026

英镑兑欧元涨势消退，仓位、并购资金流向与利差发出反转信号

英镑近月反弹看似强势，实为仓位、套息与一次性资金流驱动；避险溢价在汇率消退却留在英债。EUR/GBP贴近下沿，建议转向做多欧元、买看涨期权。

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