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30

Jul 2026

英镑兑日元下跌，市场对干预的担忧升温；英伦银行维持利率不变，投票分歧偏鹰派

日元强势拖累GBP/JPY自218跌2.4%至213，美元兑日元失守160引发干预猜测。英央行3.75%按兵不动但6-3偏鹰。RSI仅15，波动率料飙，宜期权做多波动。

30

Jul 2026

美国EIA天然气库存增幅不及预期，供需趋紧并上调Henry Hub价格前景

EIA：美国天然气库存仅增28Bcf，低于预期35Bcf，热浪推高发电用气致供需趋紧。近月或上行，可布局亨利港看涨/多9月，并留意10-1月价差与LNG流量。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变后金价反弹，但道明证券指出仓位限制或令金价难破每盎司4,200美元

FOMC按兵不动助金价反弹，但TD称加息预期仅延后至12月，难改格局。CTA空头压制，4,200/4,300美元成关键门槛；建议卖出价外看涨，主打区间。

30

Jul 2026

疑似日圆干预后，欧元/日圆走低；日本央行决议料主导波动

日元突袭式走强令EUR/JPY急挫2.54%至182.60、USD/JPY破161，疑似当局干预再现。BoJ决议在即，关注短天期JPY看涨与波动率策略，偏好逢反弹做空EUR/JPY。

30

Jul 2026

欧元/美元走高，美联储维持利率不变、美国数据疲软及欧元区增长提振欧元

紧盯1.1534突破：美GDP与核心PCE走弱压低美元、DXY逼近100；欧元区GDP意外回升提振欧元。策略：买入9月欧元看涨/牛市价差，防波动与地缘风险。

30

Jul 2026

日元走强，央行干预传闻再起，日本央行政策决议前市场关注升温

日元美盘突飙，美元/日元跌至159.50引爆“干预”猜想！市场紧盯日银决议与指引；美GDP逊预期、利差收窄助日元，建议用期权控波动风险。

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