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31

Jul 2026

估算显示：中国隐性购金缩小与美国储备差距，香港打造黄金清算枢纽

中国隐性购金或令中美黄金差距大幅收窄：估算中国持金或超5,000吨，伦敦OTC吸纳强劲。金价底部更稳，香港清算与新HAU推定价权东移，交易员宜偏多布局。

31

Jul 2026

美国黄金审计疑云与中国买盘激增，推动金价看多预期升温

美国8,133.5吨黄金缺独立审计引信任赤字；中国申报2,346吨却疑远超披露，隐性买盘成底。高盛看2026金价4,900美元，关注回调期权布局。

31

Jul 2026

美联储按兵不动，三名委员投反对票；在指引趋于温和且资产负债表上升之际，长端美债遭抛售

前瞻指引缩水+三票主张加息，美联储“可预测时代”终结！美债长端收益率飙升、MOVE或破120；资产负债表暗扩张6.75万亿，波动率与多资产期权机会浮现。

31

Jul 2026

苹果因服务业务不及预期走低，亚马逊凭借AWS带动业绩超预期大涨

财报分化掀波动：苹果EPS、营收亮眼却因服务不及预期盘后跌4%；亚马逊靠AWS提速盘后飙8%。可用期权配对：多AMZN看涨、做空AAPL。

31

Jul 2026

美元跌破100点，疲弱美国数据与日元飙升引发干预传闻

增长与核心通胀不如预期压垮美元，DXY跌破100；日元急升疑似干预助推。欧元英镑走强，金银飙升。策略：买DXY看跌、USDJPY跨式、做多欧美与白银期权。

31

Jul 2026

中国政治局释放财政加力信号但不搞大刺激，提振中国资产并推升收益率风险

7月政治局偏克制：不搞大刺激，改靠H2 2026加速财政落地。剩余7.2万亿支出或推GDP回升。交易：买恒指短CALL、做空10年国债期货，另以USD/CNH OTM CALL对冲。

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