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3

Aug 2026

欧元升势扩大，突破1.1500；油价下跌拖累美元，市场押注欧洲央行加息

欧元兑美元连涨突破1.15，美元指数受油价下挫、日元回补与美联储疑虑拖累走弱。欧元区通胀与GDP稳健推升ECB 9月加息预期，策略偏多欧元、空DXY与原油。

3

Aug 2026

中国央行将美元/人民币中间价小幅上调至6.7898，略高于前次定盘价

人民币走势有新信号：央行周一将美元/人民币中间价上调至6.7898，高于周五6.7894；参考汇率小幅走高，为市场每日定价与交易提供指引。

3

Aug 2026

黄金升破4,050美元，特朗普暂停对伊朗打击计划；投资者关注美联储利率与通胀风险

黄金重返4,050美元上方，特朗普暂缓对伊动武令避险降温但风险未除。美联储按兵不动与油价反弹推升波动，建议跨式、牛市价差；央行持续增持托底。

3

Aug 2026

美元/日元下滑至5月低位，据报美国与日本协调支持日元

美元/日圆跌破155.45引爆警报：传美日罕见联合干预、日方或砸近590亿美元救日圆。期权权利金飙，避免裸方向单，偏向认沽价差与价外日圆看涨。

3

Aug 2026

三村警告：随着日元走强，美日联合干预汇市或已见顶

日方称美日联合干预或已见顶仍紧密协作，强调FIMA非上限，日元随即走强。利差收窄支撑长期看多日元；短线建议用跨式等期权应对USD/JPY高波动。

3

Aug 2026

尽管市场憧憬特朗普与伊朗达成协议，WTI仍大跌；油轮遇袭令中东供应风险升温

WTI跳空后仍跌近7%至79.3美元，特朗普“海峡将重开”降温情绪；但油轮遇袭、霍尔木兹放缓暴露供应风险。抓错位：买看涨、长跨式或价差押波动反弹。

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