Live Updates

3

Aug 2026

澳元/日元跌破110，日元受日本与美国干预支撑，澳洲通胀放缓信号浮现

AUD/JPY连跌五日逼近110关口，日圆受美日罕见协同干预与日银偏鹰推升；澳元因通胀低于预期、中国PMI疲弱承压。策略：跌破110转买远期OTM看跌/熊市价差。

3

Aug 2026

英镑在1.3470附近企稳，伊朗外交谈判传闻令美元承压，市场聚焦英伦银行内部意见分歧

英镑/美元回吐涨幅守在1.3470：美伊“突破”传闻后遭否认，美元承压。英伦银行6比3按兵不动但留加息空间；建议关注隐波飙升，跨式与看涨期权控风险。

3

Aug 2026

中国RatingDog工厂PMI 7月降温，不及预期，澳元持稳

中国制造业PMI意外回落至50.9，扩张动能降温引爆交易线索：澳元暂稳0.7035但或补跌；建议趁波动未起，用AUD/USD看跌期权与铜空头/价差提前对冲。

3

Aug 2026

中国财新制造业PMI不及预期，增长动能降温，触发避险情绪升温与风险资产减仓

财新7月制造业PMI降至50.9逊预期51.5，扩张仍在但动能转弱。全球增长情绪或承压；可用铜、布油及澳元看跌、FXI看跌对冲，并做多10年国债、USD/CNH看涨。

3

Aug 2026

澳大利亚TD-MI通胀指标回升至4%，强化澳储行利率“高位维持更久”预期

澳洲TD‑MI通胀7月按年升至4%（前值3.9%），高于RBA目标，降息预期或被打破：利率恐更高更久，澳元偏强、债券承压，地产股需防守。

3

Aug 2026

特朗普示意与伊朗重启谈判，霍尔木兹紧张缓和拖累WTI下滑

特朗普称美伊周一重启谈判、暗示霍尔木兹有望解封，取消打击令油市降温；WTI暴跌6.72%至79.38美元。交易员关注EIA库存与OPEC+，以OTM看跌期权对冲下行。

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