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3

Aug 2026

日本与美国加码协调支援日元，片山暗示将推出更多美元流动性措施

美日罕见同步干预：买日元卖美元，防“过度无序”波动并拟用FIMA供美元。美元/日元跌至156.35。衍生品宜备下行与波动飙升，优先短期限看跌期权。

3

Aug 2026

韩国制造业PMI升至53.1，7月产出与新订单增速加快

韩国7月S&P Global制造业PMI升至53.1，扩张加速。科技与半导体需求韧性强，韩股韩元或续走强；关注KOSPI200看涨、做空USD/KRW及半导体ETF机会。

3

Aug 2026

日本制造业PMI低于预期但仍保持扩张，推升日元与收益率押注

日本7月Jibun Bank制造业PMI报54.5，略低预期54.7但仍强劲扩张。关注日元看涨期权、日经偏中性略空对冲，逢反弹做空10年JGB期货。

3

Aug 2026

美元/日元走高，美日干预风险与中东紧张局势推升波动性

美元/日元反弹至157.65止跌，但美日15年来首度联手干预令回撤风险飙升；中东变局与日银退出QE搅动波动。策略：买价外日元看涨、用价差降成本。

3

Aug 2026

OPEC+将9月原油产量上调18.8万桶/日，中东冲突影响供应

OPEC+9月增产18.8万桶/日延续加供，WTI暴跌6%至81美元；中东风险未解却转抢份额。需求疲弱叠加美产高企，油价或下探75美元。

2

Aug 2026

特朗普暂缓对伊朗发动打击，霍尔木兹海峡相关谈判在即，油价波动仍处高位

特朗普暂缓打击伊朗、周一启动谈判，霍尔木兹海峡成关键变量：原油与OVX或急涨急跌。交易员宜押波动率，跨式/宽跨式与价外看涨对冲，严控仓位止损。

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