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3

Aug 2026

比特币反弹重返6.3万美元上方，黄金回落逼近4,000美元，霍尔木兹风险引发避险情绪

避险情绪未退：比特币回升至6.3万美元上方但仍压在多条EMA下，恐惧指数28酝酿反弹；黄金逼近4000受均线压制。期权波动飙升，宜谨慎用价差策略。

3

Aug 2026

美国与伊朗紧张局势缓和、OPEC+敲定9月增产，WTI大跌

WTI暴跌7%至78.45美元，因美伊谈判迹象令风险溢价回吐；OPEC+9月增产18.8万桶/日压制情绪。短线波动飙升，期权策略关注看跌与反弹价差机会。

3

Aug 2026

瑞郎通胀降温，美元企稳、交易员关注期权上行，美元/瑞郎小幅走高

瑞士通胀疲弱+SNB趋鸽，瑞郎成季度最弱G10！美元企稳推升USD/CHF回测0.8110，若站稳或冲0.8200；可卖0.8000下方OTM看跌或做牛市价差。

3

Aug 2026

美元/新元走低，1.2790支撑守稳成焦点，1.2875阻力限制反弹

美元兑新元跌至1.2809后回升至1.2821，偏空但动能未强。盯紧1.2790支撑、1.2845/1.2875阻力；跌破看1.2765，突破则空头退潮，期权止损要严控。

3

Aug 2026

欧元/美元瞄准1.1500，期权交易员严阵以待关键美国就业数据公布前的波动

欧元/美元紧盯1.1500与1.1558盘整区，制造业PMI分化叠加美伊噪音、JOLTS与非农将放大波动；建议紧凑跨式、宽跨式与障碍期权，布局秋季看涨。

3

Aug 2026

土耳其贸易逆差扩大至104亿美元，尽管利率高达50%仍凸显里拉脆弱性

土耳其6月贸易赤字扩大至104亿美元，进口跑赢出口、逆差维持GDP约6%，里拉脆弱警讯再响。策略：买入USD/TRY看涨期权+短期远期对冲贬值。

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