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8

Oct 2026

EIA数据显示馏分油库存意外下降，柴油与取暖油供应前景趋紧

EIA：10月2日当周馏分燃料库存意外降4.2万桶，打破“零变动”预期，供应趋紧凸显需求升温。取暖油、原油或获支撑；关注OPEC+与炼厂开工反转风险。

8

Oct 2026

加元在阿尔伯塔省公投逼近之际企稳；美元/加元维持在公允价值上方

加元逆势跑赢G10：USD/CAD守在1.4227，贸易顺差减压但美元仍强。10月19日阿尔伯塔公投添波动，合理值1.4169；警惕1.4250-1.4280阻力与1.4100/1.40支撑，期权对冲。

8

Oct 2026

美联储会议纪要释放进一步收紧信号，AI需求风险或推高通胀，美元指数稳守102上方

美联储纪要偏鹰：通胀上行、AI投资推升需求，年底再加息概率高。美元指数守102并测102.50，回落101.80可伺机买入看涨，突破看103.20。

8

Oct 2026

黄金企稳于8月低位附近，疲弱美国就业数据未能撼动美债收益率与美元

非农爆冷仍压不动美元与长债收益率，金价守4,110生死线。跌破恐探4,000；上破4,300或触发空回挤压。央行与ETF买盘成底。

8

Oct 2026

欧元区工厂复苏势头稳固，欧元在欧洲央行立场转鸽及财政忧虑下走软

复苏强、欧元却跌？欧元区制造业PMI高企，新订单升温，但ECB转鸽令年末利率预期下调、法债财政压力拖累。低波动下可布局短期限EUR/USD看跌期权。

8

Oct 2026

回测显示：在高位附近，标普500回报趋缓；市场广度走弱且利率波动上升

美股逼近新高别太乐观：广度转弱、利率波动飙与高收益债走软共振，回测显示120天仅涨0.5%、回撤风险倍增；欧元1.1270附近震荡偏弱。

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