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8

Oct 2026

泰国通胀升至五个月新高，收益率差距持续令泰铢承压

泰国9月CPI升至2.8%仍低预期，能源与洪灾推高物价；BOT料利率续守1%。更大看点：美泰10年利差扩至291bp，泰铢承压，USD/THB或反弹。

8

Oct 2026

美国国债收益率升至2002年以来最高水平，霍尔木兹油价飙升推高通胀忧虑并提振美元

美债10年期收益率飙至5.35%创21年新高，霍尔木兹紧张推油破100美元、通胀再燃；美德利差扩至1.8点，美元指数强攻102.50，交易员关注油多、债空、做多美元策略。

8

Oct 2026

纽约联储调查显示：短期通胀预期上升，家庭财务状况走弱

通胀又抬头？纽约联储指一年期预期升至3.9%新高、长端仍锚3%；商品推动涨势。交易员宜备更久紧缩：做SOFR短端波动、商品看涨，零售买保护。

8

Oct 2026

越南第三季度GDP增长创疫情后新高，通胀回升限制央行宽松空间

越南第三季GDP按年飙10%超预期，投资与制造建筑驱动。惟通胀升至5.1%压缩央行宽松空间，越盾、股指期货与期权波动或放大。

8

Oct 2026

欧元/美元跌向17个月低点，美国收益率升至数十年高位，美元走强

欧元/美元跌至1.1195近17个月低；美债息飙至5.36%撑美元。法国财政忧虑扩大德法利差至75bp，欧元承压。可短期Put对冲，关注FOMC纪要。

8

Oct 2026

CTA抛售之际，黄金觅得底部，央行买盘与ETF资金流入支撑金价

CTA狂抛压制金价，实质利率与强势美元成逆风；但ETF回流与央行连月增持筑底。短线回调或是入场良机，牛市望延伸至2027。

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