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5

Aug 2026

美国就业数据疲软削弱美元与加息押注，金价跃升至4,185美元上方

金价周三飙2.5%冲破4,200后回落，ADP与JOLTS偏弱压美元、油价跌降通胀忧虑，Fed加息概率降至56.9%。周五非农成破位关键。

5

Aug 2026

印度货币政策委员会维持回购利率在5.25%，鸽派倾向暗示暂停期将延长——渣打银行称

印度央行意外偏鸽：回购利率全票维持5.25%，下调FY27通胀、上调GDP。卢比料窄幅低波动；策略：卖短天期USD/INR期权、OIS收固定，企业用远期与领式控风险。

5

Aug 2026

葡萄牙失业率降至5.3%，提振欧元走强并收窄债券利差

葡萄牙Q2失业率意外降至5.3%引爆市场：劳动力更紧或推升工资通胀，压低ECB降息押注；欧元或走强，建议布局EUR/USD看涨期权、葡债利差与PSI多头机会。

5

Aug 2026

丹麦国家银行暂缓买入克朗，利差持续下欧元/丹麦克朗维持锚定

丹麦央行7月未再买入克朗，EUR/DKK回到7.46附近交由资金流主导。利差料维持-0.40点、波动低；交易员可卖波动率，企业趁弱锁远期避险。

5

Aug 2026

英镑/美元走高，美元走软、油价下跌，交易员静待美国非农就业数据

英镑兑美元连涨至1.3450，美元走弱因中东缓和、油价回落降通胀忧虑。技术守1.3379偏多，期权可博上探1.3500；关注周五非农，跌破支撑需止损。

5

Aug 2026

英国7月综合采购经理指数（PMI）小幅上升，显示私营部门持续扩张

英国7月标普全球综合PMI报52.2，略超预期52.1，制造业与服务业产出续扩张，高于50荣枯线；为第三季初私营部门动能提供及时快照。

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