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Aug 2026

日本银行放贷增长7月放缓，降温市场对日本央行收紧政策押注并拖累日元

日本7月银行贷款年增5.4%逊预期，暗示BOJ紧缩降温更快。升息压力缓和或拖累日元；可布局USD/JPY看涨。JGB收益率或回落、日股与出口商受惠。

10

Aug 2026

尽管美国非农就业数据下滑，全球股市仍创历史新高，分化加剧并推升对冲需求

非农骤降、前值大幅下修，美国基本面转弱却遇全球股市创新高分化。金银飙升、债券反弹、油价回落。警惕背离与日食窗口，布局认沽/VIX。

10

Aug 2026

纳斯达克在加息概率降温、美国通胀数据公布前展现相对强势

科技股续强、QQQ再赢SPY；数据推高“9月不加息”押注却难掩震荡。领导扩散、广度回暖，轮动加速。下周CPI/PPI成关键，非农或引爆更广泛上涨。

10

Aug 2026

利差收窄与波动风险上升拖累，套息交易热潮在2026年面临逆风

2026套息交易赚翻却现裂痕：利差收窄、波动将起，日元/欧元融资仓位或遭快速unwind挤压。交易者应降杠杆、收紧止损，并用期权对冲黑天鹅风险。

9

Aug 2026

美元跌破100关口，黄金测试4381缺口，铜价回调目标指向656支撑

下周方向看日线收盘：美元跌破100，若重返50%回撤或下探99；黄金守住4381周收望4500；铜破位回调，盯656与647-655支撑。

9

Aug 2026

亚洲银行扩大黄金投资渠道，黄金ETF激增，香港加快扩建金库与清算基础设施

亚洲掀“黄金基建+产品”扩张潮：DBS推碎片化代币金、HSBC增港库至200吨且三年或增2,000吨；本地黄金ETF H1吸金74吨/120亿美元，清算系统助交易东移。

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