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15

Aug 2026

投机资金流向：黄金净多头激增，WTI净空头增持，欧元持仓走弱

资金变挑剔：黄金净多头暴增、仓位拥挤至95分位；WTI净多头跌至8分位现逆向做多潜力；欧元逼近4分位或触发回补；日元去杠杆降温。

15

Aug 2026

美国国债收益率上升，疲弱零售销售拖累美元；地缘政治谨慎情绪下，油价企稳

美债收益率攀升却遇零售与信心双疲弱，美元跌破100边缘；油价因中东紧张稳守82。策略：布局WTI看涨价差、SOFR对冲转向、DXY看跌。

15

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索走强推低美元/墨西哥比索至两年新低，疲弱美国数据降温美联储加息预期

比索强势拉低USD/MXN破17创两年新低！美国零售与信心转弱压美元，市场押注Fed按兵不动；利差撑套息。关注Banxico纪要，短线超卖反弹或再做空。

15

Aug 2026

MSCI 在新版“非经营性”筛选下考虑将 Strategy 与 Metaplanet 剔除出全球指数

MSCI 拟以“非营运型”新框架剔除 BTC 财库股 Strategy、Metaplanet，触发被动基金潜在减持与波动升温；征询至 9/30、10/16 定案，期权对冲与波动率交易受关注。

15

Aug 2026

人民币升至16个月新高，人民银行注资推动10年期国债收益率跌破1.70%

人民币升至6.7424创一年半新高，美元与美债收益率回落助推。央行维持适度宽松但未明示降准降息。10年国债破1.70%，50年特债低息发行，交易机会浮现。

15

Aug 2026

随着美国数据走软，美元指数维持在100以下；市场焦点转向美联储会议纪要与英国CPI数据

美元跌破100引爆抛压！美数据偏弱压低9月加息预期，聚焦周三FOMC纪要；欧元冲1.16、英镑博波动，黄金瞄4,400，油价受地缘支撑。

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