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18

Aug 2026

MUFG指出欧元/美元受200日移动均线压制，在ZEW景气指数公布前高估风险上升

欧元兑美元艰难冲击200日均线1.1630却被高估2.5%-3%；若能源与通胀拖累增长、ZEW走弱，或触发回撤2%-4%。策略：买Put或熊价差。

18

Aug 2026

加元维持疲弱，油价波动与利差更胜国内数据改善

加元虽见GDP、PMI与出口回暖，仍为G10弱旅；油价与利差拖累，且受美周期牵动。策略：反弹空美/加、买CAD看跌对冲油；欧/加或上看1.60。

18

Aug 2026

印度央行拟提前关闭FCNR（B）互换窗口，资金流入激增，卢比流动性料趋紧

RBI将FCNR(B)优惠掉期提前至8月31日关闭，523亿美元强劲流入后再校准：卢比流动性或骤紧、短中端收益率走高；USD/INR仍区间震荡，贵金属进口增添上行风险。

18

Aug 2026

英镑兑日元走弱，英国就业增长降温，市场静待通胀数据

英国就业降温拖累英镑兑日元跌至215.95；周三英国CPI成关键催化。市场押注日央行9月加息80%，看空GBP/JPY、买日元看涨期权机会浮现。

18

Aug 2026

市场等待德国ZEW经济景气指数与英国就业数据出炉，油价反弹，长期收益率走高

油价飙破91、30年美债逼近5%引爆市场！聚焦德英美数据与中国走弱，策略转向熊陡对冲、布油看涨、做多挪威克朗，并增配股指看跌防御。

18

Aug 2026

欧元/日元持稳于184.80附近，上升楔形预示反转风险，日本央行利率预期升温

EUR/JPY四连涨逼近184.80，但日线“上升楔形”亮警灯：184.03-184.60失守恐下探179.37；若突破186.10，或冲187.95，宜用认沽/价差控风险。

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