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18

Aug 2026

加拿大7月新屋开工不及预期，强化市场对加拿大央行降息的押注

加拿大7月新屋开工仅229.1k、远低预期248k：房市降温或逼BoC加快降息。债券看涨、加元或下探0.7200，银行股与REIT可用看跌期权对冲。

18

Aug 2026

美元走强、美债收益率飙升抑制涨幅，金价回落；交易员关注美联储会议纪要

黄金回吐连涨：美元与美债长端收益率飙升压制，XAU/USD守4,300–4,450区间。关注FOMC纪要与霍尔木兹风险，突破看4,500，失守盯4,225/4,151。

18

Aug 2026

瑞郎取代日元成为融资货币，干预风险与欧元/瑞郎触发点逼近

融资货币风向转变：低波动下市场从日圆转向瑞郎，避开干预冲击；策略上可做空CHF/JPY表达偏多JPY且carry为正。欧/瑞升向0.95看油价与利率走高。

18

Aug 2026

美元走弱与财政忧虑提振避险需求，地缘紧张升温下金银上涨

美元月度走弱助推金银偏多，市场忧美国赤字与债供给、关税与战事推升通胀；央行减持美元增配黄金，金价或快冲4,500，年内瞄准5,000。

18

Aug 2026

英镑在英国就业数据降温后小幅走低，市场聚焦CPI和美联储会议纪要

英就业降温拖累英镑跌至1.3530，英伦银行加息理据转弱；市场紧盯周三英国CPI与FOMC纪要。政策分化或推升美元，期权价差捕捉英镑下行。

18

Aug 2026

布伦特油价升破91美元，霍尔木兹紧张局势与沙特改道运输抵消中国需求走弱

布油连涨突破91美元/桶，霍尔木兹风险与沙特改道装船撑价；但中国炼厂加工与表需大跌、EV渗透压制。策略：偏多买call/价差，做多柴油裂解，配保护性put。

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