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18

Aug 2026

金价跌破4,400美元，美元走强及油价推升通胀忧虑抑制需求

金价跌回4,400美元下方：美元反弹、油价推升通胀与2026加息预期压制无息资产；中东冲突抬升波动。关注4,302支撑、4,450阻力，期权偏防御与跨式对冲。

18

Aug 2026

欧元/美元徘徊在两个月高位附近，油价与地缘政治因素推动防御性衍生品策略

油价逼近80美元、霍尔木兹紧张推升避险：EUR/USD 1.1580暂稳但上行受限。关注FOMC纪要与ECB；建议买短期看跌期权对冲，或用长跨式捕捉波动。

18

Aug 2026

澳元/美元延续三连涨，因市场下调美联储加息预期提振澳元，关键数据公布前走强

AUD/USD 三连涨至0.7110：美联储加息预期降温拖累美元，加上美伊紧张升温。聚焦澳洲信心与WPI；策略不追高，回测0.7074做多，配牛市看跌价差控风险。

18

Aug 2026

道指跌破53,500点，美债收益率升至19年新高，油价走强

道指连跌失守53,500，谈判窗口到期未有替案、长端美债收益率冲19年高位拖累；油价飙3%且霍尔木兹航运骤降成新雷点。

18

Aug 2026

美国30年期国债收益率触及2007年以来新高，债务与油价风险推升长期利率

美债长端收益率重返2007高位，债务供给与油价推升通胀忧虑；纪要或引发再定价。策略：TLT看跌/熊差、跨式抓波动、能源看涨对冲、做熊陡峭化。

18

Aug 2026

美国赤字扩大、中国加大购金力度叠加美元走软，金银齐涨

美赤字飙至1.8万亿、美元转弱与加息预期降温叠加央行抢金，金破4,400银站66；中国加码离岸税促资金拥抱黄金ETF与铜，硬资产牛市加速。

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