Live Updates

25

Aug 2026

金价自三个月高位回落，美元走强与ETF资金流入左右后市展望

金价自三个月高位4697美元回落至4635美元，美元走强施压但宏观流动性预期与黄金ETF年内净流入213.4亿美元托底；关注4700阻力、4520支撑及波动率交易机会。

25

Aug 2026

金价触及三个月高位，美元走软；PCE数据与沃什讲话引导利率预期

金价刷新逾三个月高位后回落，弱美元托底。PCE与杰克逊霍尔讲话成关键变量：偏鸽或推降息预期利多金价，偏鹰则抬升收益率压制黄金。

25

Aug 2026

美元波动使澳元/美元、黄金及美元/加元在CPI、PCE与英伟达财报公布前持续成为市场焦点

美债久期调整引爆美元信心波动：把握AUD/USD低吸与随机指标、ADX信号。澳洲CPI及美PCE/GDP驱动汇市放大；黄金回撤、英伟达财报或触发期权波动套利。

25

Aug 2026

美股股指期货走高，科技股反弹；英伟达业绩公布与美国关键经济数据发布在即，市场聚焦杰克逊霍尔年会

美股指期货欧时段温和反弹，科技/AI在英伟达财报前修复；市场紧盯消费者信心、PCE与杰克逊霍尔，期权隐波抬升，建议跨式及保护性看跌对冲。

25

Aug 2026

德国IFO商业景气指数超预期，欧元维持稳定，交易员关注看涨衍生品策略

德国IFO指数8月升至88.8且双项分项超预期，现状与预期同步走强；欧元反应钝化或存重估窗口，建议配置EUR/USD短期限看涨、做空Bund期货并做多EUR/CHF价差。

25

Aug 2026

德国Ifo预期指数超预期，上调欧元区增长前景并提振欧元与DAX指数

德国8月IFO预期指数升至89.1，显著高于预期87.5，提振欧元区增长预期；欧元、DAX看涨期权受益，Bund承压，降息预期降温。

25

Aug 2026

美元走强拖累WTI跌破84美元关口；伊朗紧张局势与美国库存偏低提供支撑

WTI 连跌失守84美元，美元反弹与加息预期压制商品需求；但美伊风险溢价与SPR历史低位支撑下方。守住82美元，短线偏多，衍生品可逢低布局反弹。

25

Aug 2026

法国消费者信心降至86，低于预期，拖累欧元及法国资产

法国8月消费者信心指数降至86不及预期87，情绪持续低迷且显著低于长期均值100，内需承压。关注CAC40防御、欧元偏弱及OAT-Bund利差走阔。

25

Aug 2026

卢比小幅走强，因印度央行抑制美元/印度卢比波动；霍尔木兹海峡原油风险仍令美元偏强格局不改

卢比小幅走强但受原油高企与对伊朗制裁升级扰动。RBI干预或暂控USD/INR于95.50–96；技术偏多，突破95.98或上看97.10，建议价差做多并对冲油价风险。

25

Aug 2026

美元跌破99.40走软，欧元上看1.18；美国PCE数据公布前美债收益率持稳

美元指数受制99.40，欧元、澳元偏强；美债收益率PCE前偏上行。股指多空分化，商品黄金与天然气看多。衍生品建议配置美元走弱与股指价差策略。

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