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18

Mar 2026

纽元/美元徘徊于0.5860附近，在美元持稳、美联储表态及中东紧张局势压制市场情绪下小幅走低

纽元/美元守0.5860但风险偏好降温；中东战事推高油价、通胀再忧。市场盯美联储与鲍威尔鹰派信号，以及纽西兰Q4 GDP，左右短线方向。

17

Mar 2026

WTI油价在早前涨势后回落，交易员权衡美伊冲突进展与霍尔木兹海峡供应中断风险

中东战火牵动油市：WTI 回吐至94.85美元。伊朗锁定波斯湾设施，霍尔木兹海峡仍通行但风险升温；OVX偏高，跨式/宽跨式与价差策略可捕捉震荡。

17

Mar 2026

白银跌至79美元，油价走高，尽管美元与美债收益率走弱；风险偏好回升下周度跌幅扩大

白银周二跌近2%至79.13美元，周跌1.81%；油价与中东冲突推升通胀忧虑压制金属。技术转弱、78成关键。隐波冲45%，关注长跨式、75看跌及领口防守。

17

Mar 2026

英镑/美元徘徊在1.3350附近，投资者在美联储与英国央行决议前避开美元，推动涨势延续

英镑/美元靠近1.3350走强，市场先减美元仓等Fed与BoE定调。英英通胀高压令BoE或更鹰，利差利多英镑；可用1.30看涨期权捕捉升幅，但隐波高、权利金贵。

17

Mar 2026

阿尔塞诺表示，加拿大家庭净资产在2025年创下历史新高，资产增速超越信贷增长

加拿大统计局：2025年家庭净资产飙升5.8%创新高！房产几乎不涨(-0.2%)，全靠金融资产大增10.5%与股市回报31.7%撑场；家庭信贷仅增4.4%。

17

Mar 2026

特朗普表示，大多数北约盟国将避开对伊朗采取行动，并称美国既不想也不需要他们的协助

特朗普称北约及日澳韩不参战伊朗行动，地缘风险升温。未来数周VIX或冲破30，油金偏强、美股或回调；建议用VIX、原油、黄金与指数期权对冲，外汇偏日元瑞郎。

17

Mar 2026

在美国52周国库券拍卖中，收益率升至3.485%，高于此前的3.345%

52周美债拍卖利率冲上3.485%创近高，市场押注美联储“更高更久”。降息或推迟、加息概率飙升，纳指承压、VIX走高，美元指数突破105.50续强。

17

Mar 2026

新西兰GDT价格指数大幅下滑，从此前的5.7%降至0.1%

GDT指数仅升0.1%远低前值5.7%，乳价动能急冻。纽元支撑削弱，NZD/USD或承压；中国全脂奶粉进口跌4%添忧。策略转防守：布局纽元与乳业股看跌。

17

Mar 2026

在欧洲央行和英伦银行即将作出政策决定之前，欧元/英镑维持在0.8640附近，变化不大

欧镑0.8640横盘“蓄势”，周四ECB与BoE决议+英国失业率(料5.3%)成引爆点；隐波偏低或便宜，留意鹰派措辞，期权可先布局波动。

17

Mar 2026

早前分析指出，当标普500指数在约6746点附近交易时，波浪形态偏空，目标指向6500点或更低

标普500自6,746跌至6,600，偏空艾略特波浪应验；7,011高点后或走复杂修正，C浪未完。守不住6,575恐下探6,494，通胀顽固、降息落空推升VIX，期权偏空布局。

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