Live Updates

18

Mar 2026

道明证券称，准财政刺激推动中国2026年初投资反弹，缓冲油价冲击

2026年中国开局回暖，准财政拉动投资，制造与出口领跑。中东推升油价挤压利润，稳增长更倚财政。若特朗普取消访华，关税疑云或引爆市场波动。

18

Mar 2026

1月，美国月度预算赤字进一步扩大，从950亿美元增至3080亿美元

赤字一夜暴冲：美国1月预算缺口扩至3080亿美元，国债供给压垮需求推高收益率；Fed降息更难、VIX或低估，科技估值承压；双赤字使美元趋弱。

18

Mar 2026

美联储决议前夕，中东紧张局势引发谨慎情绪，美元连续第二日走弱

美元连跌、DXY守99.60；联储决议与特朗普伊朗言论压制。RBA意外加息推澳元，油因霍尔木兹风险飙，黄金创新高，央行周密集来袭。

18

Mar 2026

欧元/美元走高，美元走软，交易员静待美联储与欧洲央行政策更新

EUR/USD 连涨两日逼近1.1546，美元指数跌破100回落。焦点转向美联储点阵图与ECB决议；油价推升通胀风险，市场降息押注降温，欧元区新CPI成关键。

18

Mar 2026

大华银行经济学家表示，全球油气价格上涨正推动泰国面临成本推动型通胀风险

油价走高或把泰国从低通胀推向成本冲击：UOB维持2026年GDP 1.8%、CPI -0.3%但概率降；贸易逆差扩大，泰铢偏弱、SET承压，宜对冲。

18

Mar 2026

德国商业银行分析师称，墨西哥比索或跑赢巴西雷亚尔，后者下行风险更大

德国商业银行警告：雷亚尔急升后恐转弱，因巴西料大幅降息、利差收窄叠加增长放缓与政治风险；墨西哥降息近尾声，USMCA利好或撑比索。

18

Mar 2026

市场静待联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC），美元指数回落0.20%，100.00关口未能守住，逐步回撤至99.50–99.60区域

DXY回落至99.5区间、100关口受阻，两根K线示弱。全市场押注美联储点阵图：若删2026降息美元或冲100.5；保留降息恐探99与98.4支撑。油价与中东风险推高波动。

18

Mar 2026

美国20年期国债标售收益率上升，最新拍卖升至4.817%，高于此前的4.664%

美20年期美债拍卖惨淡，得标收益率飙至4.817%（升15.3bp）。市场重估降息、通胀更黏，长端利率或续扬：债价承压、科技成长股受挫，美元与波动率或走高。

18

Mar 2026

美国股市连续第二个交易日小幅走高；美联储决议临近，道指逼近4.7万点

美股续涨但FOMC前谨慎，道指逼近4.7万。伊朗冲突推油价重返100美元，能源领涨；点阵图与SEP左右降息预期，市场转向2026年才降息。

18

Mar 2026

法国巴黎银行强调土耳其在能源价格方面的脆弱性、汇率传导效应、收益率攀升及市场对政策进一步收紧的预期

法巴警告：土耳其对油价与汇率最敏感，传导系数0.4推升通胀；央行干预仅暂稳里拉，债息飙升。交易员可做多USD/TRY波动率，押注突破。

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