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by VT Markets
Sep 3, 2026
周三早盘美国交易时段，美元/日元在触及160.39（近五周高位）后回落，跌幅超过1%，并再度未能站稳心理关口160。日元的突然走强引发市场对日本可能再度入市干预的猜测，此前汇价多次测试160关口，而上一轮干预迹象出现时的起点大致在164附近。与此同时，日本央行官员措辞偏鹰，呼吁迅速采取行动以支撑走弱的日元、应对通胀风险上升，进一步强化了市场对最早本月加息的预期。
该货币对一度下探至158.20，随后反弹并重回158.42上方；158.42对应155.22–160.39上行波段的38.2%斐波那契回撤位以及200日移动均线。日线指标有所转弱，RSI下滑至50下方，14日动能转为负值；若有效跌破158.42，或指向进一步下行；而任何反弹被认为将受限于159.17下方，159.17与23.6%斐波那契回撤位及20日移动均线重合。上方阻力位分别位于159.17、159.35、159.59及160.00；下方支撑位分别位于158.42、158.05、157.81及157.20。
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