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26

Sep 2026

哈马克警告通胀预期心态蔓延，随着美联储释放“利率高位维持更久”信号，美元波动加剧

警惕“通胀心态”抬头：哈马克强调需继续维持限制性利率，需求端推升通胀粘性；外汇与固收波动或延续，建议布局higher-for-longer及美元期权对冲。

26

Sep 2026

加元下挫，关税与收益率利差扩大推动美元/加元升向1.4150

加元13日12弱、USD/CAD逼近1.4150创高：油价支撑失灵，核心驱动转向美加利差扩张与关税博弈；策略偏多，关注1.4200/1.4250与央行决议波动。

26

Sep 2026

受美国国债收益率高企及市场对美联储加息预期升温影响，金价在4,280美元附近企稳，上行空间受限

避开抄底陷阱：金价于4,280美元企稳但上行受阻。美债收益率高位与通胀预期抬升强化加息定价，技术指标偏空；关注4,200破位风险，央行购金提供中长期底部支撑。

26

Sep 2026

由于美联储与瑞士央行政策分化延续支撑美元，美元/瑞郎企稳于2025年5月以来水平附近

利差分化延续：美元/瑞郎守稳0.8285、或四连涨。美联储鹰派与SNB零利率强化瑞郎融资属性，建议中期看涨期权牛市价差，并配置美债空头/看跌期权防守。

25

Sep 2026

美元/瑞郎升至0.8296，美元动能因超买信号降温，关注0.8330上方阻力位

美元/瑞郎两日急升至0.8296，动能偏多但技术面深度超买；0.8305-0.8330阻力压顶，涨幅或受限。守0.8225偏多，失守转区间，期权偏卖虚值。

25

Sep 2026

香港推进人民币黄金期货及清算体系建设打造国际黄金枢纽

香港加速打造国际黄金枢纽：拟于明年初推人民币计价黄金期货，清算系统对标LBMA并启用“HAU”；叠加减税、增持与库容扩张，资金东移套利机会显现。

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