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26

Sep 2026

哈马克称美联储双重使命保持一致：住房市场感受紧缩压力，通胀仍处高位

克利夫兰联储哈马克称，美联储政策并非全面抑制，约束主要在住房；高通胀推升真实成本挤压工资，预期仍相对锚定。收益率上行映射增长、政策与AI资本争夺，财政轨道不可持续。

26

Sep 2026

美元/新元维持在1.2800附近，市场押注新加坡金管局收紧政策以巩固新元支撑

USD/SGD于1.2800企稳，受MAS收紧预期及S$NEER偏离中枢支撑新元。短线料1.2780–1.2815震荡，上看1.2835；支撑上移1.2770，建议牛市价差或写Put捕捉溢价。

26

Sep 2026

美元随美债收益率上行创两个月新高，市场计入美联储进一步收紧政策预期

美债收益率全线上行叠加强劲数据与地缘风险，美元指数突破101创两月高位；市场定价年内再紧缩36bp，但CFTC净多头回落——强美元还能走多远？

26

Sep 2026

欧洲央行管委武伊契奇暗示或将开启紧缩周期，柴油价格高企威胁欧元区通胀与利率走势

欧央行副行长称紧缩周期启动，警惕能源高位与柴油升水推升通胀黏性，利率或“更久更高”。关注Euribor短仓、柴油裂解价差及支付方互换期权对冲。

26

Sep 2026

亚洲外汇走弱，受油价走高、美债收益率上行及假期交投清淡影响；印尼盾领跌

油价与美债收益率高企叠加假期流动性枯竭，亚洲外汇普遍承压；印尼卢比领跌，人民币动能衰减。衍生品宜做多波动、配置USD/CNH看涨，并下调仓位控滑点。

26

Sep 2026

哈马克警告通胀预期心态蔓延，随着美联储释放“利率高位维持更久”信号，美元波动加剧

警惕“通胀心态”抬头：哈马克强调需继续维持限制性利率，需求端推升通胀粘性；外汇与固收波动或延续，建议布局higher-for-longer及美元期权对冲。

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