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Live Updates

14

Oct 2026

尽管短期出现回调，技术形态仍利多多头，美元/日元维持偏多走势

美元/日元技术面偏多：上行仍为基准情景。内容聚焦多头建仓逻辑、关键价位与动能验证，回撤视作布局机会；并明确失效条件与风控节奏，避免追高做空。

14

Oct 2026

印度9月通胀率升至5.5%，印度央行转向鹰派及外汇管制措施提振卢比

印度9月CPI同比升至5.5%逼近6%上限，食品领涨且通胀更普遍化；RBI或12月加息并推外汇风险准备金，USD/INR回落。立即布局OIS与对冲。

13

Oct 2026

德国9月HICP通胀环比上涨0.6%，符合预期

德国9月HICP环比升0.6%契合预期，通胀未现超预期波动；作为欧元区可比通胀口径，该读数强化对价格压力月度累积与趋势研判。

13

Oct 2026

卢比走强，印度央行抑制美元需求；美元/印度卢比跌至一个月低位

印度卢比受RBI疏导美元需求新政提振，USD/INR下挫至月内低位；尽管印度通胀回升仍在容忍区间，市场转向美国CPI与美联储偏鹰预期。

13

Oct 2026

美元/瑞郎走低，美元从18个月高位回落，美通胀关键数据发布前市场谨慎，中东风险升温

美元自18个月高位回吐拖累USD/CHF回落至0.8330；市场聚焦美CPI/PPI与FedWatch加息定价。中东避险升温，汇价维持0.8245-0.8365震荡。

13

Oct 2026

在美联储释放鹰派信号及中东局势紧张抑制美元跌势之际，金价受阻于4,200美元下方

黄金反弹受阻4,200美元：美元回落难敌美联储鹰派与中东风险，收益率高企抬升持有成本。关注CPI/PPI，策略建议区间上沿做空，对冲跌破4,117。

13

Oct 2026

美元/韩元在韩元走强背景下测试整理区间下沿；上方阻力位见1,367/1,372

USD/KRW自1,390反弹动能衰竭，正下探盘整下沿，或重启中期下行。阻力1,367-1,372，若受限则看1,318及1,303/1,297；反弹仅属修正。

13

Oct 2026

在对俄乌停火前景的疑虑推升地缘政治供应风险之际，WTI油价攀升至两周高位

WTI收复跌幅逼近两周高位，俄乌停火疑云与中东航运风险推升溢价；俄柴油增供提振短暂。OPEC大幅下调需求增速。建议期权对冲、跟踪库存。

13

Oct 2026

美元/新元维持在1.2800附近，汇价在1.2835下方整理，关注1.2775支撑位

美元/新元窄幅震荡收跌0.08%，短线料维持1.2790-1.2820区间。上行动能回升但难破1.2835；1.2775为关键强支撑，失守或逆转偏多。

13

Oct 2026

克利夫兰联储哈马克称通胀压力普遍持续利率必须上调

通胀仍高且价格压力扩散，克利夫兰联储哈马克称利率或需更久维持高位；在需求强劲、AI推升压力下，倾向小幅快动收紧防通胀预期固化。

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