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Live Updates

23

Mar 2026

路透社引述法尔斯通讯社消息称，伊朗未与美国进行直接或通过第三方的沟通

美伊沟通真假难辨：伊朗否认对话、指特朗普退让；矛盾标题搅动美元与油价，避险升温、波动飙升。期权宜押波动：布油虚值call、美元/日元、跨式策略。

23

Mar 2026

纽约梅隆银行的鲍勃·萨维奇称，在与伊朗相关的能源冲击后，欧洲央行偏鹰立场推升短期利率，而通胀仍保持稳定锚定

伊朗能源冲击引爆市场：ECB/BoE/FOMC转鹰推升短端、曲线趋平；但欧元区HICP已回落至2.3%、制造业PMI收缩。交易员可押注短端下行、EURIBOR与期权布局更鸽派降息重定价。

23

Mar 2026

在特朗普释放中东紧张局势缓和信号之际，欧元/日元回升但仍跌0.30%，报约183.65附近

欧元/日元自低位反弹仍跌0.30%至183.65；特朗普称美伊谈判进展、延后打击，避险退潮压日元。关注莱恩讲话与日本CPI，期权跨式捕捉剧烈波动。

23

Mar 2026

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）李哈德曼称日元跑赢G10同业，在日本央行加息风险下令美元/日元维持在160以下

USD/JPY 逼近160关口成市场引爆点：日方警告或再度干预，BoJ最快下月加息预期升温；期权偏重防跌，160-162上方风险显著。

23

Mar 2026

中东紧张局势升温之际，英镑下挫0.6%至1.3260，投资者避险转向美元

中东冲突升级触发避险潮：英镑兑美元跌至1.3260，美元指数重返100。英PMI与CPI难扭转，期权策略可布局GBP/USD续弱。

23

Mar 2026

华侨银行策略师称：收益率上升、实际利率走高及ETF资金外流令黄金承压，但后期展望改善

金价受压：美债收益率与实际利率走高、通胀疑虑再起，美元转强且黄金ETF减持。短线震荡偏下行；可卖近月call赚权利金，买远期call保留反弹。

23

Mar 2026

中东局势紧张推动美元兑印度卢比（USD/INR）升至历史新高，缩短交易周内卢比走软

霍尔木兹危机推油价逼近100美元，风险情绪转弱拖累印度股市；USD/INR 假期周破94.40创新高。外资续撤、美元走强，期权偏多看95。

23

Mar 2026

今年1月，希腊年度经常账户赤字从此前的38.62亿欧元收窄至12.86亿欧元

希腊1月经常账户赤字按年大减€2.576B至€-1.286B，外部收支更稳、资金依赖降。旅游与能源账单改善加持，利好希股、酒店交通、国债收益率下行与利差收窄。

23

Mar 2026

欧洲盘中，金价从200日均线反弹，空头重新评估超卖信号，跌幅收窄

金价欧洲盘自200日均线反弹，曾创四个月低。央行齐放“高利率更久”信号推升美债收益率压金，但中东局势与霍尔木兹风险仍撑避险。

23

Mar 2026

德意志银行经济学家称，美国经济增长受能源出口支撑，但通胀压力仍处高位

德银：美国身为净能源出口国，油价冲击对增长伤害较小，但通胀难逃。WTI若破100美元，CPI或+1.25点逼近4%，抑制降息；130-150美元恐引爆增长“非线性”风险，市场波动升温。

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