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Live Updates

23

Mar 2026

油价走高提振加元，加元跑赢主要货币，但对美元略走低

中东冲突升温推高油价，支撑加元兑多数货币走强；但美元避险买盘令USD/CAD回到1.3735附近。高波动环境下，期权跨式、价差更具吸引力。

23

Mar 2026

接近100.00之际，美元指数在近期美联储鹰派立场趋于坚定的背景下走高

DXY连涨逼近99.80；中东局势升温推避险与油价，通胀忧虑强化美联储鹰派预期。VIX仍可承受，趁低成本布局股指保护与原油上行期权。

23

Mar 2026

中东紧张局势加剧之际，黄金触及2026年新低，外汇市场剧烈波动

霍尔木兹海峡危机升温，避险资金涌向美元与原油，股指承压、波动飙升。黄金却现“抢现金”式下挫；策略：原油call、标普put、VIX call、日元做波动。

23

Mar 2026

欧元上周在G10货币中排名第二，受加息预期与PMI强劲提振，尽管能源价格高企

欧元上周逆能源高企成G10亚军，市场押注ECB最快4月加息。聚焦欧元区3月PMI与消费者信心：数据强则续涨，弱恐回调；波动升温，期权布局吃香。

23

Mar 2026

土耳其消费者信心指数从85.7下滑至85，显示整体家庭情绪略有走弱

土耳其3月消费者信心降至85，需求转弱警讯！通胀仍高达48.5%侵蚀购买力，里拉或续贬至42。策略：布局USD/TRY看涨期权，BIST 100与TUR看跌对冲。

23

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行的本杰明·皮克顿表示，伊朗冲突与霍尔木兹海峡威胁令市场对原油供应的担忧持续升温

伊朗战争与霍尔木兹海峡风险升温，油市警报拉响：若报复打击能源设施或限流收“过路费”、改用人民币计价，或引发长期供应中断，油价与风险资产承压。

23

Mar 2026

中东冲突升温之际，WTI在欧洲时段交投于99.10美元附近，特朗普警告伊朗勿在霍尔木兹海峡挑衅

中东冲突升级推WTI突破99美元，特朗普警告伊朗与霍尔木兹风险引爆供应忧虑。IEA或释储；API库存将成短线风向。高波动下权利金交易机会浮现。

23

Mar 2026

中东冲突推高避险需求，美元走强推动美元/日元上探160.00

中东战火推升避险需求，美元走强令USD/JPY冲159.60、再探160关口。美联储降息预期升温、日本加薪或促收紧，利差变数与干预风险加大，期权策略受关注。

23

Mar 2026

法兴宏观团队称，3月PMI初值将衡量油价冲击对欧元区经济活动与物价的影响

油价再冲击欧元区：3月初值PMI料揭示通胀是否压过增长放缓。若价格分项强，ECB或更早加息；策略偏€STR/EURIBOR做多利率、欧元看涨期权。

23

Mar 2026

欧洲早盘交易时段，GBP/USD回落至1.3315附近，美元在PMI数据公布前走强

中东冲突推油价再扬，避险买盘令美元走强、英镑回落至1.3315。英美PMI将揭经济温度；波动回落下，期权对冲与卖出价外看跌成焦点。

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