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Live Updates

25

Mar 2026

纽元/美元徘徊在0.5840附近，小幅走高但仍受抑，强势美元限制涨幅

纽美徘徊0.5840：美元收益率+通胀担忧撑盘、纽元受衰退与风险厌恶拖累。技术偏空，守0.5794；失守或探0.57。策略：Put或熊市价差。

25

Mar 2026

在韩国，3月消费者信心指数降至107，低于此前的112.1

韩国CSI 3月骤降至107、创近期最大跌幅，内需转弱警讯拉响。看跌/看涨比升至1.15、VKOSPI或走高；用KOSPI put、跨式及USD/KRW call对冲。

25

Mar 2026

美国API报告：每周原油库存增加230万桶，逆势高于预期（原先预测减少130万桶）

API原油库存意外增230万桶，较预期多360万；EIA亦增190万、炼厂开工率降至86%。供应偏松压制油价，WTI或考验关键支撑，期权策略聚焦看跌或涨幅受限。

25

Mar 2026

在周一接近158.10的20日均线测试后，美元/日元反弹回升至159.00附近，目标指向160.00

美元/日元重返159.00，仍偏升但回调风险升温；站稳看159.50/160，跌破158.10恐下探156.45。利差与核心通胀黏性支撑美元，日本或干预压波动。

25

Mar 2026

金价徘徊在4,400美元附近，中东紧张局势、油价走高及美国国债收益率上升抑制涨幅

中东局势升温牵动金油汇：金价4,404高波动、原油破91美元，美元与美债收益率走强。霍尔木兹风险推升通胀忧虑，期权波动飙升，跨式与买权/卖权成对冲关键。

25

Mar 2026

在伊朗否认进行谈判后，美元指数收复失地，上涨0.30%至约99.40

美元指数反弹至99.40，因伊朗否认外交说法触发risk-off，避险买盘回流。通胀nowcast受油价冲击走高，市场不再押注降息。PMI成本与报价飙升，就业转弱。

25

Mar 2026

WTI原油反弹3%，在市场质疑情绪导致11%暴跌后，交易重回每桶90美元上方

WTI 油价周二反弹约3%重返90美元上方，因霍尔木兹海峡关闭与美军增兵推高供应忧虑。IEA称史上最大中断，高盛上调目标至98-105。关键阻力95/99。

25

Mar 2026

在SMCI陷入困境之际，戴尔牛旗形态突破剑指历史新高，进一步巩固其全球IT基础设施领导地位

戴尔股价劲升5.63%并突破牛旗，受SMCI法律风波带动需求转移。关注阻力178.62/179.70与190.05；回调守158.35，形态仍偏多。

25

Mar 2026

更坚挺的美元反映较高收益率、对美联储鹰派押注、油价推升通胀忧虑以及欧元区PMI疲弱

美债收益率攀升与美联储偏鹰预期推高美元指数至99.50；油价逼近92美元加剧通胀。欧元、英镑承压，日元续弱。多国CPI与GDP数据将引爆行情。

25

Mar 2026

地缘政治紧张局势推升美元需求，欧元承压；RSI反弹，但在1.1600下方空头格局仍延续

中东战事升温推高油价，欧元因净能源进口挨压，EUR/USD跌至1.1573；美元指数回升99.50，美债收益率坚挺且降息预期降温，欧元反弹受阻。

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