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Live Updates

25

Mar 2026

在看跌的艾略特波浪结构中，标普500走低，从修正阶段逐步转向推动性下跌

标普500陷偏空艾略特波浪：修正未完、或再走多段下跌。4,400三周受阻、VIX升至22。关注跌破50日均线；可用看跌期权或熊市价差布局。

25

Mar 2026

周二，XAG/USD上涨0.25%至约69.35美元，但在地缘政治不确定性与融资趋紧的背景下，动能转弱

银价小涨至69.35美元却难站稳：美元与美债收益率强、紧金融压制不生息资产。中东消息反复仅短撑。金银比88显偏便宜，策略偏震荡卖虚值看涨，长线逢低布局。

25

Mar 2026

美国两年期国债标售得标收益率升至3.936%，高于此前的3.455%

突发：美国2年期国债拍卖最高收益率飙至3.936%，较上轮升48.1bp。通胀回黏与就业强劲，市场重估5月再加息概率，科技股承压，倒挂或再扩大。

25

Mar 2026

英镑下跌0.16%，油价与美国国债收益率推高美元；英镑/美元在触及1.3445后徘徊于1.3400附近

英镑跌0.16%至1.3400：美元强势、10年美债收益率破4.75%与油价支撑。英通胀降温或促BoE降息；警惕GBP/USD下探，考虑买Put与外汇对冲锁汇。

24

Mar 2026

接近184.00，欧元/日元维持中性，欧元区PMI走弱，日方通胀进一步放缓

欧日逼近184关口：欧元区PMI降温拖累动能，日本CPI与核心通胀回落但保留加息可能。技术面守183.67上方偏温和看涨，关注184.10阻力。

24

Mar 2026

在中东局势持续不明朗之际，道指小幅上扬，标普500与纳指在科技股领跌下回落

中东冲突升级牵动美股：道指盘前震荡后小涨、标普纳指走弱；油价飙升重燃通胀忧虑；私募债基金赎回超限引发折价回收，金融股承压。

24

Mar 2026

PMI数据走软之际，美元走强推动美元/加元升至1.3765附近，加元走弱

USD/CAD周二逼近两个月高位1.3765；美元在避险与美债息上扬下走强。美PMI回落但制造业稳，油价升撑加元有限，短线紧盯中东与美元。

24

Mar 2026

受油价走强和美债收益率上升带动，美元走强，英镑下跌至1.3400

英镑跌0.16%失守1.34：美元受油价、国债收益率走高提振，市场押注美联储2026前不降息。中东航运风险升温，英PMI转弱且成本飙、通胀仍高。

24

Mar 2026

在不确定性中，美元保持坚挺，推动美元/日元升至约158.70，上涨0.16%

避险情绪升温推高美元/日圆至158.70；美国PMI走弱、联储预期转向全年不降息。日本通胀回落，市场押注日银加息谨慎，利差偏美元，期权布局看164。

24

Mar 2026

黄金交投淡静，投资者保持谨慎，在中东冲突背景下权衡美伊谈判信号分歧

金价周二横盘，地缘紧张讯息反复：特朗普延后打击伊朗，官员否认谈判。美PMI走弱＋油价推升通胀预期，美元美债压金；4,450-4,500阻力、4,300支撑。

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