Live Updates

28

Aug 2026

美国PCE数据强劲推升美联储加息预期，金价跌破4,600美元，杰克逊霍尔会议前承压

黄金跌破4600美元，核心PCE持平3.3%推升9月加息概率至40%压制金价；静待杰克逊霍尔表态。霍尔木兹重开预期对冲地缘与油价通胀。

28

Aug 2026

东京核心CPI高于预期，进一步强化日本央行继续加息的理由

东京8月核心CPI同比升至1.8%超预期，通胀粘性强化“风向标”信号；或推升日本央行加息预期，促日元走强、JGB承压、日股波动加剧。

28

Aug 2026

东京核心核心通胀维持在2%，继续对日本央行进一步加息构成压力

东京核心-核心CPI（剔除食品与能源）8月同比升2%，潜在通胀逼近央行目标。市场押注秋季再加息，JGB收益率上行风险增；日元或走强，日股宜期权对冲。

28

Aug 2026

美元/日元汇率在干预效应减弱及美日利差扩大背景下持稳于160关口下方

美元/日元159.50下方震荡，技术面逼近160阻力。历史性联合干预后跌幅收复过半。美日利差与套息主导，9月加息预期升温但支撑有限，事件驱动波动或放大。

28

Aug 2026

中方拒绝美方拟议依据“301条款”加征关税，双方仍保持峰会磋商渠道开放

中方坚决反对美或重启《301条款》加征7.5%关税，警惕单边保护主义并保留反制；同时维持高层沟通，为市场波动上行与衍生品对冲交易提供窗口。

28

Aug 2026

韩国央行买入SPDR黄金信托股份，韩国拟推进国内实物黄金采购准备工作

韩国银行二季度增持67.98万股SPDR黄金ETF，披露对手方与托管等风险；并拟按国际现货价收购国内实物黄金、韩元结算本土存储，暗示配置从“纸黄金”转向实物。

28

Aug 2026

英镑在杰克逊霍尔年会临近之际测试1.3600关口，期权市场指向回调风险

GBP/USD低位窄幅震荡，动量超买回落指向50日EMA回归；上涨主要受美元走弱驱动。紧盯鲍威尔讲话、基准修订及英财政风险，建议期权对冲回调。

28

Aug 2026

韩国央行加息至3.00%，上调经济增长预期强化韩元交易逻辑

连续加息叠加半导体景气，韩国银行上调政策利率至3.00%并上修GDP与核心通胀预测，释放偏鹰信号；韩元估值偏低，USD/KRW看跌期权与远期空头机会凸显。

28

Aug 2026

美元/新元维持区间震荡，强劲美国经济数据支撑美元，市场静待沃什在杰克逊霍尔年会发表讲话

美国数据韧性托底美元，USD/SGD于1.2720区间震荡；RSI回升暗示技术性反弹。关注Warsh杰克逊霍尔讲话催化，阻力1.2740/1.2790，支撑1.2680/1.2650。

28

Aug 2026

墨西哥、秘鲁和智利供应波动强化看多逻辑，白银尽管遭遇挫折仍跑赢大盘

墨西哥、秘鲁、智利供应扰动合计影响约110万盎司，叠加光伏等工业需求与副产品供给刚性，白银结构性缺口夯实；金银比66.8具修复空间，期权多头宜布局。

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