Live Updates

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，投机者加大标普500指数期货净空头头寸

CFTC数据显示，标普500期货非商业净持仓由-100.5千张降至-133.2千张，投机账户净空头显著加深，风险偏好走弱信号引发市场关注。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着美元/日元均值回归风险累积，日元投机性净多头头寸回落

警惕日元动能衰竭：CFTC显示非商业净多头由12.04万份降至7.2万份，回撤约40%，套息交易去杠杆或暂歇，USD/JPY或均值回归上行。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着原油获得支撑，投机者增持原油净多头头寸

CFTC显示原油非商业净持仓升至141.1千手，投机净多头扩张、看跌动能减弱。持仓仍低于五年均值，叠加供给约束，油价或获支撑，关注牛市价差。

26

Sep 2026

法国兴业银行预计人民币波动性将上升，习近平访美促使贸易休战延长至1月

法兴称习近平访美对市场边际影响有限，贸易休战仅延至明年1月。美元/人民币受美债收益率与央行边际放松反弹；建议短端看涨及离岸跨式捕捉波动。

26

Sep 2026

哈马克称美联储双重使命保持一致：住房市场感受紧缩压力，通胀仍处高位

克利夫兰联储哈马克称，美联储政策并非全面抑制，约束主要在住房；高通胀推升真实成本挤压工资，预期仍相对锚定。收益率上行映射增长、政策与AI资本争夺，财政轨道不可持续。

26

Sep 2026

美元/新元维持在1.2800附近，市场押注新加坡金管局收紧政策以巩固新元支撑

USD/SGD于1.2800企稳，受MAS收紧预期及S$NEER偏离中枢支撑新元。短线料1.2780–1.2815震荡，上看1.2835；支撑上移1.2770，建议牛市价差或写Put捕捉溢价。

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