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26

Sep 2026

瑞银提示柴油供应趋紧风险，布伦特油价反弹，强化大宗商品上行周期有望延续至2026年的判断

硬资产轮动升温：黄金先行、工业金属接力，能源再定价，农业或成下一段上行“腿”。布伦特守住97–100美元支撑反弹至108；柴油与馏分油库存紧约束，瑞银建议分散配置，把握2026超级周期起点。

26

Sep 2026

美国密集数据发布将考验经济韧性，澳洲联储利率或接近峰值，欧元区通胀再度成为关注焦点

重磅数据周来袭：美国消费、收入与PCE修订将重估经济韧性，非农或降温；RBA逼近终端利率、欧元区通胀回升。建议国债期权价差、澳元短跨、股指保护性看跌。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：黄金投机净多头小幅回落，整体多头基调仍维持不变

CFTC显示黄金非商业净多头降至225.9K，投机敞口温和收缩但仍高位；净多头稳守200K阈值。关注2,580美元支撑，期权牛市价差或成布局良机。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：英国经济增长停滞、降息预期升温之际，投机者加大英镑净空头仓位

警惕英镑抛压升温：CFTC显示非商业净空由-58.7k扩至-82.6k，叠加英国增长乏力、降息预期抬升与利差走阔，GBP下行风险加剧。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示，投机者加大标普500指数期货净空头头寸

CFTC数据显示，标普500期货非商业净持仓由-100.5千张降至-133.2千张，投机账户净空头显著加深，风险偏好走弱信号引发市场关注。

26

Sep 2026

CFTC数据显示：随着美元/日元均值回归风险累积，日元投机性净多头头寸回落

警惕日元动能衰竭：CFTC显示非商业净多头由12.04万份降至7.2万份，回撤约40%，套息交易去杠杆或暂歇，USD/JPY或均值回归上行。

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