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28

Sep 2026

日本央行会议纪要显示通胀接近目标，市场权衡加快加息步伐与日元波动风险

警惕BOJ转向：通胀预期升温、潜在通胀逼近2%，政策重心转向稳定目标并推进正常化；加息或早于定价，日元套息退潮，美元/日元承压，利率与波动率策略受益。

28

Sep 2026

受美债收益率攀升提振美元影响，澳元/美元回落至0.7010附近，焦点转向澳洲联储利率决议

澳元/美元亚盘回落至0.7010，受美债收益率上行与美联储再收紧预期提振美元；市场聚焦RBA或加息至4.60%。0.7000成关键，多期权对冲策略。

28

Sep 2026

特朗普—习近平时间安排令市场在一月贸易悬崖、石油咽喉要道风险与科技管制之间艰难权衡

特习峰会仅落地期限安排：釜山休战延至2027/1/10，市场转向贸易、原油与科技三线“到期”定价；美债收益率破5%推升美元，风险对冲需求急升。

28

Sep 2026

纳斯达克100指数盘前区间压制策略：在波动性上升背景下瞄准突破失败交易

纳指波动或随季末再平衡与财报季升温：用“区间约束”捕捉盘前高低点假突破，区分扫单收复；触发止损即宣告失效，严守“一天仅一笔”抑制过度交易。

28

Sep 2026

澳元/日元守住支撑弧线，上行目标看向111.12，失效位于110.10

弧线周期显示AUD/JPY 4小时运行于100%支撑弧线上方，中性偏多、测试支撑且完整性强；支撑有效看反弹，上行目标111.12；跌破110.10则偏多失效并下看更低支撑。

27

Sep 2026

COT数据显示：大豆看空押注创历史新高，瘦肉猪、英镑及纽元持仓出现调整

警惕：COT显示大豆链投机净空创史上极值，或触发1–2个月回调及套保被迫平仓反向风险；瘦猪看多极值配合低位修复；英镑、纽元商业增持偏多信号。

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