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Live Updates

20

Jul 2026

中东局势消息提振美元需求、油价走高且波动率上升，欧元/美元回落

中东地缘风险反复致欧元兑美元回落，美元指数反弹；油价推升通胀预期，央行分化升温。策略：欧元/美元买跨式、布油看涨对冲、DXY期货防御。

20

Jul 2026

美元/日元在162.55附近企稳，胡塞武装风险溢价推升美元，日本央行干预威胁逼近

美元/日元升至162.55，地缘风险与油价反弹推升美元；美联储维持鹰派预期。日本警示外汇干预，或现400点急挫。建议以看跌期权/熊市价差对冲。

20

Jul 2026

道明证券认为，加拿大CPI走软将推升美元/加元；利率分化或令汇价维持在1.39附近

加拿大CPI走软推升USD/CAD，利差主导令1.40下方下行受限；建议偏多期权与跨盘做多加元。TD维持H2 2026约1.39预测。

20

Jul 2026

BNY认为强劲的国际收支支撑拉美外汇市场，墨西哥数据成关注焦点

BNY称拉美外汇受更优国际收支与利差收益支撑，金融账户流入与高美元持仓缓冲走强风险；墨西哥数据偏温和、降息路径不变；秘鲁索尔低配，拉美总回报或落后EMEA/APAC。

20

Jul 2026

在中东消息与美联储偏鹰预期推动的剧烈震荡交投中，金价持稳于4,010美元附近

中东矛盾消息致金价剧震，XAU/USD围绕4010美元拉锯；美元与油价反复反转叠加偏鹰美联储预期压制。期权波动率或飙升，关注跨式与价差策略。

20

Jul 2026

道明证券警告：油价推动的通胀及美联储加息押注或限制金银涨幅

TD称油价推升再通胀，市场计入2026年底加息；收益率与美元上行抬升持有成本，金银净多撤退，金价逼近3900支撑，白银更弱。

20

Jul 2026

欧洲央行料将维持利率于2.25%，市场定价9月加息预期，欧元区间震荡交易

悬念在于数据：欧洲央行料本周维持利率2.25%，通胀偏弱、增长乏力或冲击市场偏鹰加息定价，欧元或转入低波动区间震荡，期权宜收取权利金策略。

20

Jul 2026

在美国通胀降温拖累美元、提振纽元之际，纽元/美元企稳于0.5850附近

美国通胀降温致美元回落，NZD/USD走强至0.5850；市场下调美联储加息预期。新西兰联储偏鹰与中美政策分化提供支撑，地缘风险扰动情绪。

20

Jul 2026

加拿大通胀降温至2.8%，核心通胀跌破目标，强化市场对加拿大央行或维持利率不变直至2026年的预期

加拿大6月CPI同比降至2.8%，核心通胀跌破2%目标，压力广度温和；RBC料央行2026余下时间按兵不动，波动率下行催生期权与跨期策略。

20

Jul 2026

英镑/美元跌破1.3450，动能减弱促使交易员转向区间震荡策略

GBP/USD跌破1.3450支撑回落至1.3427，动能不强；短线料1.3420–1.3475震荡，未来数周看1.3385–1.3495整理，适宜区间期权策略。

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