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Live Updates

28

Jul 2026

在哥伦比亚通胀压力下，随着美联储与哥伦比亚央行决议临近，美元/哥伦比亚比索在2019年低位附近企稳

美元/哥比逼近2019低位，十周累跌16%后或技术反弹至3237-3400；FOMC与BanRep议息成关键催化，哥国服务通胀黏性支撑高实际利率与比索中期偏强。

28

Jul 2026

在美联储决议前欧元兑美元企稳，霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势升级且GDP与通胀数据临近

欧元/美元在美联储决议、GDP与通胀数据及美伊地缘风险前横盘，市场维持3.50%-3.75%利率基准并定价30%意外加息；DXY高位支撑波动率交易。

28

Jul 2026

美元指数逼近102，Pinkert关注美元/加元空头机会，黄金与白银回调目标价位

关键拐点将至：DXY或在102附近完成浪形结构，统计相关性指向USD/CAD优先做空；贵金属或回调至黄金3800、白银50；标普500三角形酝酿波动率扩张，活牛偏多。

28

Jul 2026

在欧洲央行加息预期降温提振美元之际，欧元/美元下滑至一个月低点附近

欧元兑美元下挫逼近1.13中段低位：美元走强叠加美欧利差收窄、市场下修ECB加息预期。技术面转空，关注CPI；策略建议买1.1300看跌，失守或指向2025年5月低点。

28

Jul 2026

美国7月消费者信心下滑，美元企稳，市场押注美联储收紧政策且中东风险升温

美国消费者信心回落至90.8、预期指数仍为负，叠加DXY横盘与中东风险，暗示波动或将放大；建议配置美元跨式、可选消费看跌、SOFR牛市价差及黄金OTM看涨。

28

Jul 2026

道明证券称套利交易与黄金为瑞郎主要拖累因素，预计欧元兑瑞郎将于2026年见顶

警惕瑞郎或酝酿反转：TD称低收益套息与金价主导疲弱，EUR/CHF上行受利差与黄金制约；若ECB 9月后暂停加息，年底或回落至0.93。

28

Jul 2026

市场关注植田和男指引以研判下一次加息时点，日本央行料将利率维持在1.00%

日本央行7月31日或按兵不动维持1.00%利率，悬念在植田前瞻与《展望报告》：若通胀粘性或日元走弱促转鹰，9-10月加息预期升温，美元/日元或回落。

28

Jul 2026

加拿大丰业银行认为，在收益率利差及油价走软的制约下，美元兑加元接近公允价值

丰业银行称USD/CAD逼近公允价值1.4086，现报1.4115；美加2年利差约80bp与油价走弱压制加元，短线料1.4060-1.4250区间震荡，期权卖跨/铁鹰优选。

28

Jul 2026

金价因技术性破位与通胀回落削弱避险需求而面临进一步下行压力

黄金技术破位叠加通胀回落与高利率抬升持有成本，空头动能或延续；衍生品可布熊市看跌价差，目标2,250，止损2,410，警惕地缘扰动反抽。

28

Jul 2026

特朗普释放对伊朗采取克制立场信号，缓解油价风险溢价并拖累美元走低

特朗普释放有限冲突信号，中东升级预期降温；美元指数走弱、WTI回落。能源风险溢价或继续压缩，建议布局原油空头及卖波动率，并严控止损与对冲。

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