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29

Jul 2026

美元在美联储决议前回落、油价回调及美债收益率走低之际，瑞士法郎保持稳定

美联储决议前美元涨势回落，USD/CHF冲高0.8205后持稳。利差与SNB零利率利多美元，但地缘风险或促瑞郎避险回流；期权跨式与结构性对冲受青睐。

29

Jul 2026

在美联储决议临近且中东局势趋稳削弱避险需求背景下，金价企稳于4,038美元附近

黄金回落至4038美元，技术面偏弱；市场聚焦美联储决议与中东局势。若鹰派或风险缓和，回测4000/3941；冲突升级或推升至4116阻力。

29

Jul 2026

英镑维持在1.3300附近，美联储与英国央行决议临近，波动率收敛

英镑兑美元纽约早盘围绕1.3300窄幅震荡，日内仅约30点，为数周最窄区间；美联储与英国央行决议临近，波动率压缩或引发突破，建议布局多跨式及虚值看涨。

29

Jul 2026

美国七年期国债标售收益率跃升至4.473%，推高融资成本及波动率预期

美国7年期国债拍卖中标收益率升至4.473%，较前次上行21.3基点，融资成本抬升引发利率重定价；债市波动升温，或压制成长股并支撑美元。

28

Jul 2026

道指在防御性板块财报提振下逼近纪录高位，半导体股则在利率审视下走低

道指盘中飙升近700点逼近52,900，但半导体月跌逾20%拖累科技。资金轮动至医药、金融等价值防御板块；关注议息、PCE，守52,600偏多。

28

Jul 2026

英镑远期利差在英国央行决议前收窄，欧元兑英镑走强

欧元兑英镑连涨背后是远期利差收窄预期：英国数据走软压低加息定价，叠加欧洲央行9月加息信号，汇价逼近0.8600阻力。

28

Jul 2026

欧元/美元关注新一轮做空入场机会，价格目标指向4小时公平价值缺口区间

EUR/USD看跌交易预案：待回测4小时FVG择机做空，确认结构转弱与反转信号再定入场、止损及目标；上破7月27日高点或未回补FVG先破低点即失效。

28

Jul 2026

特斯拉股价在技术性回调中反弹，但看跌艾略特波浪显示或仍有进一步下行空间

特斯拉自413.23受阻后五浪下挫至304.28，现处Wave((IV))技术性修正反弹且上方受限，后续或再度转弱，目标290–189；份额下滑、毛利压缩，期权宜偏空布局。

28

Jul 2026

随着CDS成本上升以及比特币走弱，人工智能与半导体板块科技股抛售加剧

AI与半导体抛压加剧、反弹退潮，芯片指数较高点回撤逾15%；大型科技CDS走阔提示信用风险上行。油价走弱难护盘，比特币连跌增跨资产下行概率，宜配置看跌期权/VIX多头。

28

Jul 2026

WTI因美伊紧张局势缓和而延续跌势，霍尔木兹海峡风险溢价消退

WTI受美伊紧张缓和及霍尔木兹“联合管理”提议影响续挫，报77.90美元跌近4%，地缘溢价退潮。技术面转空，关注74.78支撑，失守或下看67-65。

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