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Live Updates

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，30年期美债收益率升至2007年以来新高，全球股市承压

重磅信号：美联储按兵不动但沟通偏弱，30年美债收益率飙至5.20%致曲线陡峭化，压制估值并引发美股回撤；建议增配波动率与期权对冲、跨市场相对价值交易。

30

Jul 2026

欧元兑英镑小幅走软，市场静待欧元区数据及英国央行利率决议

欧元兑英镑冲高0.8585后回落至0.8577，投资者聚焦欧元区GDP与失业率及英国央行利率决议；若BoE偏鸽，EUR/GBP或上探0.87，建议配置三个月看涨期权。

30

Jul 2026

克罗地亚PPI飙升，受中东欧燃油价格冲击影响，通胀风险再度升温，关键数据发布在即且美联储分歧加剧

克罗地亚PPI同比升5.7%领衔今日CEE数据潮；中东紧张推升柴油/Euro95高于YTD均值，波兰捷克罗马尼亚通胀回扰，央行更偏鹰；美联储按兵不动但分歧偏紧。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变后，市场静待德国通胀与GDP数据，欧元/美元走低

欧元/美元回调至1.1455，静候德国HICP与欧元区GDP揭晓：通胀若升温或强化欧央行偏鹰预期；技术“双底”锁定1.1483突破，目标1.1557。

30

Jul 2026

卢比走弱，因美国国债收益率攀升；受油市紧张局势影响，美元/印度卢比徘徊于95.60附近

美债收益率飙至18个月高位推升美元，卢比承压，USD/INR徘徊95.60。建议95.00买入看涨期权；同步配置原油虚值看涨及做空美债对冲通胀与地缘风险。

30

Jul 2026

马来西亚金价小幅走低：美元兑林吉特汇率折算承压，央行购金支撑后市预期

马来西亚金价周四回落：每克MYR532.68、每托拉MYR6,213.14。FXStreet称央行持续增持与降息预期支撑，回调或成多头布局窗口。

30

Jul 2026

澳元/美元走低，美联储加息预期与原油波动推升美元，澳大利亚通胀走软施压

AUD/USD 冲高回落徘徊0.6900中枢：地缘风险与对美联储2026加息定价推升美元避险，澳洲通胀偏软削弱加息预期；技术承压0.6974，跌破0.6925或探0.6800。

30

Jul 2026

黄金在4100美元遇阻回落，美元走强及美联储加息预期升温抑制需求

4,100美元遇阻后金价回撤：美元走强叠加能源通胀推升再加息预期，压制无息资产。三票主张加息，市场聚焦GDP与PCE；衍生品策略偏空。

30

Jul 2026

日本警告无上限预算申请，美元/日元在波动风险下维持在163.5附近

日本拟取消下财年预算申请上限，初始规模或放大致市场误读；美元/日元163.47徘徊。财政扩张与干预风险升温，建议布局短期限跨式及障碍期权捕捉波动率上行。

30

Jul 2026

澳大利亚第二季度出口价格加速上涨，为澳元提供支撑并抑制降息预期

澳大利亚二季度出口价格指数环比升1.1%，较前季0.5%加速，资源品需求支撑贸易条件改善；关注澳元上行、看涨期权与短期期货机会，RBA或偏鹰，3年国债期货承压。

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