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Aug 2026

加拿大制造业销售超预期，降温市场对加拿大央行降息押注，支撑加元

加拿大6月制造业销售环比+0.1%逆转预期下滑，释放工业韧性信号；降息紧迫性边际减弱，支撑加元与短端利率上行，关注BAX回吐及近端CAD期权机会。

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Aug 2026

英镑走强，市场重新定价美联储9月政策预期，美元走弱

英镑兑美元升至1.3533、DXY回落99.70，因市场重定价美联储9月“按兵不动”概率至65%。把握美元走弱：建议布局GBP/USD看涨期权及牛市价差，并以DXY跨式对冲波动。

14

Aug 2026

在黄金上涨与债券资金流入推动下，南非兰特领涨中东欧-中东-非洲新兴市场货币，美元/南非兰特逼近16.00

南非兰特本月领跑CEEMEA，兑美元即期升约2.4%、总回报2.7%；逼近16关口，受金价走强、美联储鸽派预期及外资债券231亿兰特净流入驱动，风险偏好仍主导。

14

Aug 2026

金价自周内低点反弹，美元走软与疲弱美国数据削弱美联储加息预期

金价自周内低点4311美元反弹至4372美元，受美元走弱及美联储9月加息预期降温支撑；零售与就业数据偏弱强化增长放缓，关注4386阻力与4000支撑。

14

Aug 2026

欧洲股市收盘持平，霍尔木兹袭击事件和美国对无人机加征关税的影响抵消美国通胀放缓利好

欧洲股市收盘横盘：霍尔木兹遇袭及美对伊“史无前例”制裁、无人机关税升温对冲通胀回落利好；油价走强、美元走弱，期权对冲需求升温。

14

Aug 2026

中国7月人民币贷款转为净偿还，助长市场押注人民币走弱并引发更广泛的风险规避交易

信贷骤转惊雷：7月新增人民币贷款由1.61万亿元降至-3400亿元，净偿还凸显融资需求走弱；市场聚焦广义社融与政策宽松验证，风险资产承压。

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