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6

Aug 2026

政策制定者瞄准竞争性货币贬值，亚洲外汇及期权交易员面临更高重定价风险

政策制定者联手遏制竞争性贬值，日元、人民币受国际审视或触发亚洲货币重估。期权市场风险逆转偏向升值，建议由做空转防上行，布局虚值看涨与价差。

6

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹海峡航运谈判及美国原油库存因素拖累，WTI油价徘徊于三周低位附近

WTI徘徊74美元三周低位，霍尔木兹通航进展成关键催化剂；EIA库存意外累增强化供给宽松预期。技术面偏空，阻力80美元、支撑67–70美元，建议以有限风险期权组合控波动。

6

Aug 2026

瑞郎走强，疲软美国数据拖累美元；市场关注霍尔木兹海峡重开谈判及对美联储政策押注

美国ADP与ISM偏弱施压美元，美元/瑞郎跌至0.8078；霍尔木兹重启进展牵动油价与波动率。FedWatch显示9月加息概率降至56%，NFP成关键；瑞士通胀0.4%支撑瑞郎结构性走强。

5

Aug 2026

在 SNDK 财报发布前波动加剧之际，美国股指走高，纳指领涨，科技板块上涨面扩大

美股开盘强势突破，纳指领涨且涨势由MAGS外溢至软件、半导体与DRAM，期权看涨增量印证资金做多；聚焦SNDK财报扰动，建议回撤买权或牛市价差收权利金。

5

Aug 2026

华尔街延续8月涨势，受霍尔木兹海峡局势缓和预期提振油价回落，金属价格反弹

美股8月续创新高，霍尔木兹重开预期压低油价、或抑制通胀并降低2026加息概率；金银强势反弹，关注Jackson Hole前衍生品多空策略机会。

5

Aug 2026

金价逼近4,256美元，霍尔木兹外交进展提振风险偏好；比特币期权聚焦6.5万美元突破

金价4,256美元震荡，霍尔木兹外交预期升温提供衍生品布局窗口；关注200日EMA4,279与4,316突破买短期看涨。比特币64,540盘整，65,000上破追涨，跌破64,405转买看跌。

5

Aug 2026

受疲软美国数据拖累，美元/日元在157.65附近企稳；加息预期升温提振日元需求

美国就业与服务业数据走弱叠加伊朗制裁松动压制美元，USD/JPY157.65徘徊；日本工资加速强化BoJ加息预期。紧盯158.04均线，布局看跌与做多波动率。

5

Aug 2026

英镑小幅走高：美国就业数据走弱令美元承压，非农就业报告公布前市场谨慎观望

美国就业与服务业数据偏弱拖累美元，英镑小幅走强；市场聚焦周五非农，建议布局短期限跨式及看涨期权，技术支撑稳固、上看1.3550。

5

Aug 2026

道明证券预计，在7月非农就业数据的支撑下，美元指数（DXY）将维持在200日均线上方，美元下行空间受限

TD Securities称，7月非农/失业率若走弱，美元仅温和回调，DXY大概率守住200日均线99点；若数据超预期，美元对GBP、AUD或再上攻。

5

Aug 2026

EIA数据显示美国原油库存意外增加，加剧WTI下行风险

EIA显示截至7月31日当周美国原油库存意外累库247.9万桶，较预期少150万桶显著偏离，指向需求走弱与高供给共振，WTI短线承压，期权对冲或成关键。

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